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February 27, 2018

Southeast Asia
Najib-12.22.2017 Islamist Groups Could Swing Malaysian and Indonesian Elections

After months of speculation, many signs indicate that Malaysia will hold its national elections in late April or early May. According to reports in the Malaysian press, the country’s election commiss…

May 25, 2018

Digital Policy
Zuck-EU Cyber Week in Review: May 25, 2018

This week: GDPR enters into force, CFIUS reform, a UK cabinet minister outlines the law applicable to cyberspace, and sinkholing a Russian botnet. 

May 11, 2018

Eurozone
Ireland Exports its Leprechaun Ireland Exports its Leprechaun

Irish tax distortions have a material impact on aggregate eurozone economic data.

April 16, 2018

Japan
U.S. President Donald Trump, First Lady Melania Trump, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and his wife Akie Abe pose for a photograph before attending dinner at Mar-a-Lago Club in Palm Beach, Florida, on February 11, 2017. Abe Returns to Mar-a-Lago

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will return to Florida tomorrow to meet with President Donald J. Trump. Much has changed since Abe’s first visit in February 2017, just a month into the new Trump a…

April 13, 2018

Iran
A photo distributed by the Houthi Military Media Unit shows the launch by Houthi forces of a ballistic missile aimed at Saudi Arabia March 25, 2018. Pompeo, the Iran Deal, and the Asymmetric Proxy War

U.S. Secretary of State nominee Mike Pompeo said yesterday at his Senate confirmation hearings that he would actively try to “fix” the Iran deal, working with U.S. allies to “achieve a better outcome…

April 9, 2018

Trade
U.S. President Donald Trump's economic adviser Larry Kudlow speaks to reporters at the White House in Washington, U.S., April 6, 2018. Are Trade Wars Bad for U.S. Energy Dominance?

Years ago, Wanda Jablonski, the famous energy journalist and newsletter publisher, gave me an important piece of professional advice. Be careful how many conflicts you take on at one time.  Wanda’…

April 6, 2018

China
When Did the China Shock End? When Did the China Shock End?

Conventional wisdom among economists is that the China shock ended a decade ago. That is largely because the U.S. bilateral deficit with China has been fairly stable since 2007 (measured as a share o…

April 6, 2018

Nigeria
Nigeria-Fulani-Farmer-Herder-Violence-Benue Perceptions of Tribalism and the Farmer-Herder Conflict in Nigeria

The president’s apathetic response to the conflict in the middle belt encourages the perception of many southern Nigerians and even a few northerners that Muhammadu Buhari is the “President of the North,” rather than of Nigeria as a whole.

March 16, 2018

Capital Flows
The (Balance of Payments) World Changed in 2014 The (Balance of Payments) World Changed in 2014

Reserve growth stopped as private investors in Europe and Japan started buying a lot of the rest of the world's bonds.

March 14, 2018

Kenya
Kenya-Kenyatta-Odinga-Reconciliation-NASA-Jubilee Pulling Kenya Back From the Brink

Odinga has called off his defiance campaign against the Kenyatta government, while Kenyatta apparently is allowing Odinga to continue to use the title “people’s president." The official document released detailing the pact refers to both as “his excellency.”