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June 1, 2005

Economics
An unbalanced US economy continues to get more unbalanced

Yes, I am repeating myself. But the data is pretty clear.Housing Prices. Up. Particularly in big cities on the coasts. Leading indicators for housing. Up. Check out Calculated Risk for more.Ma…

August 24, 2005

United States
Are we ignoring the United States’ strengths?

Anantha Nageswaran of Libran Asset Management in Singapore has submitted a set of (lengthy) comments that respond, in some sense, to many of the points I and others have raised on this blog.   Check …

March 14, 2006

United States
The 2005 (and 2006) current account deficit

The 2005 current account deficit: $805 billion. or 6.4% of US GDP That is a bit smaller than I expected.    The q3 deficit was revised down.  Reinsurance payments were higher than initially foreca…

April 17, 2006

Monetary Policy
Treading water (the February TIC data and ongoing central bank financing of the US)

The world bought $87b more of US long-term debt and equity than the US bought of foreign debt and equity.    The net inflow exceeded expectations - there were some concerns that TIC inflow wouldn't b…

October 15, 2006

China
China tops the US — at least in the goods exporting league table

It is official.  China exported more goods than the US in August – and most likely in September too.  It is pretty clear which part of the dollar zone benefited most from dollar depreciation.   For t…

chinaus1