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May 16, 2019

Trade
Trump’s Trade War Unimportant in Grand Scheme of Things

Experts from the Council of Councils grade international cooperation on global trade a middling C in 2018, rank it one of the lowest priorities on the global agenda, and are only somewhat optimistic …

Workers are seen on scaffolding at a construction site in Nantong, Jiangsu province, China, on January 1, 2019.

May 13, 2019

Afghanistan
Women and the Afghan Peace Process: A Conversation with Wazhma Frogh

Wazhma Frogh, co-founder of the Women and Peace Studies Organization in Afghanistan and member of the Afghan Women’s Network, reflects on the importance of women's participation in the ongoing Afghan…

Wazhma Frogh speaks about women's roles in the Afghan peace process, May 2019.

May 2, 2019

China
China Never Stopped Managing its Trade

So long as the bulk of China's imports from the United States (and many others) are bought by state firms, China has the ability to manage its trade. The management isn't new. What's new is Trump's i…

Guests attend a ceremony marking the 1st delivery of a Boeing 737 Max 8 passenger airplane to Air China at the Boeing Zhoushan completion center in Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China, December 15, 2018.

December 17, 2018

Southeast Asia
2018 in Review: Press Freedom Under Assault in Southeast Asia—Maria Ressa and More

2018 was a brutal year, in many ways, for civil society activists, rights advocates, and democratic politicians throughout Southeast Asia. Cambodia’s government transformed from an autocratic regime …

Maria Ressa_12.3.2018

November 13, 2018

Puerto Rico
Could Maria’s Legacy Be a New Debt Trap for Puerto Rico?

President Trump is right to worry that disaster aid will end up bailing out the holders of Puerto Rico's bonds, but there are better solutions to that particular problem than cutting off disaster aid…

Could Maria’s Legacy Be a New Debt Trap for Puerto Rico?

March 25, 2019

Puerto Rico
Is There Still A Path that Returns Puerto Rico to Debt Sustainability?

The relatively generous settlement with the sales-tax backed bonds (COFINA) has reduced the funds available for everyone else.

Is There Still A Path that Returns Puerto Rico to Debt Sustainability?

October 2, 2017

Puerto Rico
Puerto Rico Before Maria

My new discussion paper with Greg Makoff on economic and demographic trends in Puerto Rico.

Puerto Rico Before Maria

November 19, 2018

Defense and Security
Women and the Syrian Peace Process: A Conversation with Mariam Jalabi

Mariam Jalabi, co-founder of the Syrian Women’s Political Movement and the Syrian National Council’s representative to the United Nations, reflects on Syria’s future and women's participation in the …

Mariam Jalabi, co-founder of the Syrian Women’s Political Movement and the Syrian National Council’s representative to the United Nations, speaks with CFR's Jamille Bigio.

February 22, 2018

Puerto Rico
Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Positive Growth Shock for Puerto Rico?

Puerto Rico’s latest fiscal plan appears to use a best case scenario as its base case. It consequently doesn’t provide a realistic benchmark for evaluating Puerto Rico’s long-run capacity to pay.

Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Positive Growth Shock for Puerto Rico?

October 2, 2018

Nigeria
Nigerian and U.S. Flooding Similar, Linked to Climate Change

Nigerians fear that flooding in October 2018 could be as bad as or worse than it was in 2012, when two million Nigerians were displaced and 363 died. In 2015, floods displaced 100,000 and led to 53 deaths. In 2016, 92,000 were displaced 38 died. In 2017, floods affected 250,000. 

Nigeria-Flooding-Kogi-State-Climate-Change