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November 9, 2022

Russia
If Russia Goes Nuclear: Three Scenarios for the Ukraine War

The odds remain slim, but an increasingly desperate Vladimir Putin could use Russia’s nuclear arsenal to turn its fortunes in the Ukraine war. 

August 15, 2021

Afghanistan
America’s Withdrawal of Choice

The swift fall of Kabul recalls the ignominious fall of Saigon in 1975. Beyond the local consequences—widespread reprisals, harsh repression of women and girls, and massive refugee flows—America’s st…

A U.S. Army helicopter is seen flying over Kabul

May 16, 2023

United States
Why Today Is Not Like the 1850s

American politics turned hyper toxic several years ago, and ever since commentators have raised the specter of a second civil war. No other historical parallel, it seems, captures so viscerally today…

Supporters of former U.S. President Donald Trump stand near Confederate and U.S. flags in Wellington, Ohio on June 26, 2021.

August 30, 2021

Afghanistan
Exiting Afghanistan Will Improve America’s Global Standing in the Long Run

Allies in Europe and the Asia-Pacific will be the beneficiaries of an overdue strategic realignment.

President Joe Biden salutes members of the U.S. Marine Corps Honor Guard.

August 29, 2022

Diamonstein-Spielvogel Project on the Future of Democracy
Saving Democracy in Tunisia

In Tunisia, President Kais Saied's consolidation of power and embrace of autocratic measures threaten the lone remaining success story of the Arab Spring. The Biden Administration should move from rh…