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March 4, 1999

China
What Does the Future Hold for China and the World?

March 2, 1999— Ensuring that 21st century China will be a stabilizing force for global economics, peace, and security is one of the central goals that today’s American policymakers confront. And with…

May 21, 2003

China
Chinese Military At Least Two Decades Away from Rivaling U.S. Forces, Concludes Newly Released Council Task Force Report

May 22, 2003 - China is pursuing a deliberate course of military modernization, but is at least two decades behind the United States in terms of military technology and capability. Moreover, if the …

June 25, 2003

Iraq
U.S. Should Provide Iraqis and Americans With a More Coherent and Compelling Vision for Iraq’s Political Future

Experts Urge President to Deliver Major Address to the Nation on Importance of Getting the Job Done Right in Post-War Iraq June 25, 2003 - With mounting costs to American lives and treasur…

September 13, 2004

Middle East and North Africa
The Missing Peace: The Inside Story of the Fight for Middle East Peace

Council on Foreign Relations New York, N.Y. September 13, 2004 THOMAS FRIEDMAN: Good morning, we're going to call this evening to order. I want to welcome you all on behalf of the Council on Fore…

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January 11, 2005

Middle East and North Africa
The January 9 Elections and Beyond: The Road Ahead for Israelis, Palestinians, and the U.S. in 2005

Council on Foreign RelationsNew York, N.Y. STEVEN COOK: I'd like to welcome you all here this evening to the Council on Foreign Relations for a meeting with a good friend and colleague, David Mak…

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February 8, 2005

Chairman Greenspan: Do Not Worry, Be Happy

The Chairman gave policy makers a green light not to worry about the US current account deficit: the dollar’s existing fall will lead the deficit to turn around. The Chairman’s remarks also seem to …

March 29, 2005

United States
Too big to behave rashly

According to Andrew Samwick, the world’s central banks are too big to behave rashly. As he puts it: "We’re too big an economy, and our creditors’ portfolio holdings are simply too large for them to …

January 3, 2005

Budget, Debt, and Deficits
Borrowing is Saving, Up is Down

Edmund Andrews of the New York Times provides the Rosetta stone that lets us decipher the Bush Administration’s plan to cut the deficit, which seems to be a plan to pretend to cut the deficit. Here i…

September 18, 2005

United States
Synthetic CDOs, China and Systemic Risk

I suspect the stock of outstanding synthetic credit derivatives -- $ 1500 b in synthetic CDOs in 2004 v. $300 b or so in 2001, according to Mark Whitehouse of the Wall Street Journal -- is the only t…

September 4, 2005

Economics
Financial storm gathering?

Andrew Lo of MIT apparently thinks so.  His work provided the basis for this New York Times article by Mark Giben, an article that probably will attract less attention today than it would in more tra…