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July 15, 2006

Capital Flows
A new club of creditors …

Andrew Rozanov – a senior manager in the official institutions group of State Street Global Advisors – thinks America’s creditors in Asia and the oil producing world should create a club (sort of lik…

July 17, 2006

Budget, Debt, and Deficits
Edmund Andrews’ article on tax revenue volatility is a gem

Credit should be given where credit is due. I have a few quibbles with the lead of Andrews’ article.  Even if it sets up a compare and contrast, I never like anything that starts with “It was enough …

August 16, 2006

Economics
PIMCO is betting on the continuation of Bretton Woods 2

At least that is how I read the latest Paul McCulley/ Andrew Balls paper.   By the way, Andrew Balls, welcome to the world of financial opinion journalism … otherwise known as economic analysis and m…

August 18, 2006

United States
Dollar depreciation has increased exports. But Andrew Tilton is also on to something … to export you need to invest in your export sector

US exports are enjoying their strongest three-year period of growth since 1987-89.    If growth rate of the first half of the year is sustained, the cumulative increase in US exports between the end …

andrewtildo_1

September 21, 2006

China
Why China’s $1 trillion in reserves are unlikely to be of much use in a banking crisis

It is rather hard to read Andrew Browne’s report of the building boom in Zhengzhou in last week’s Wall Street Journal --- or for that matter many other accounts of China’s current investment boom – a…