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May 13, 2009

China
China’s $1.5 Trillion Bet

Overview This is an update to the January 2009 Working Paper China’s $1.7 Trillion Bet. Download the original paper [PDF]. China is now by far the United States’ largest creditor. Its treasury …

China’s $1.5 Trillion Bet header

May 17, 2009

Monetary Policy
"We hate you guys ... but there is nothing much we can do"

That – now famous -- quote by Luo Peng isn’t really true. China’s government choose to peg its currency to the dollar. More importantly, China’s government choose to peg to the dollar at a rate t…

"We hate you guys ... but there is nothing much we can do"

August 4, 2009

Monetary Policy
Bonus graph

A quick chart showing how my estimates (from work I have done with Arpana Pandey of the CFR) for official holdings of Treasuries and Agencies compares with the FRBNY custodial holdings and the data t…

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January 3, 2009

Monetary Policy
Secrets of SAFE, Part 1: Look to the UK to find some of China’s Treasuries and Agencies

Not everyone who read my earlier post on China’s flight from risky assets was convinced that a large share of the UK’s (net) Treasury purchases should be attributed to China. Talk is cheap. M…

Secrets of SAFE, Part 1:  Look to the UK to find some of China’s Treasuries and Agencies

June 16, 2008

Budget, Debt, and Deficits
The April TIC data lends itself to a host of different headlines …

One might be “Foreigners love US Treasury bonds.” Foreign investors bought $80 billion of long-term Treasuries in April, and another $3.3 billion of short-term bills for good measure. Anyone who …

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