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March 28, 2019

Israel
The Golan Heights: What’s at Stake With Trump’s Recognition

President Trump’s reversal of half-century-old U.S. policy will in practice change little in the strategic territory occupied by Israel, but it could have far-reaching diplomatic reverberations.

Israeli troops train in the Golan Heights.

January 14, 2019

China
To Boost Flagging Growth, China Doubles Down on Its Least Productive Sector

China’s leaders have vowed to boost flagging economic growth with greater government spending on infrastructure. Is this a wise bet? Since 2010, China has spent roughly eight percent of GDP on…

To Boost Flagging Growth, China Doubles Down on Its Least Productive Sector

December 20, 2018

United States
115 Percent of Trump’s China Tariff Revenue Goes to Paying Off Angry Farmers

“Billions of Dollars are pouring into the coffers of the U.S.A.,” tweeted President Trump last month, “because of the Tariffs being charged to China.” It would be nice if it were true. But it …

115 Percent of Trump’s China Tariff Revenue Goes to Paying Off Angry Farmers

December 18, 2018

United States
Trump’s Trade War With China Makes Russia Great Again

“Tariffs will make our country much richer than it is today,” President Trump tweeted in August. So far, there’s not much evidence of that. As the left-hand graphic above shows, U.S. exports to C…

Trump’s Trade War With China Makes Russia Great Again

March 7, 2019

Energy and Climate Policy
How Congressional Appropriations Can Be Leveraged as First Step Toward the Green New Deal

This is a guest post by Benjamin Silliman, research associate for Energy Security and Climate Change at the Council on Foreign Relations.  Amid controversy whether the Green New Deal manifesto is …

U.S. Senator Edward Markey (D-MA) arrives for a news conference after a Senate vote on whether to overturn a presidential veto of the Keystone XL pipeline, at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, March 4, 2015.

November 20, 2018

United States
The Fed Is Tightening More Than It Realizes

Before the 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers, the Fed’s balance sheet stood at $925 billion—mostly U.S. Treasury securities. After 59 months of asset purchases to push down longer-term interest ra…

The Fed Is Tightening More Than It Realizes

February 15, 2019

Syrian Civil War
Global Conflict This Week: U.S.-Backed Forces Target Eastern Syria

Developments in conflicts across the world that you might have missed this week.

Syrian Democratic Forces stand together near Baghouz, Syria

December 5, 2018

Emerging Markets
What’s in Store for Emerging Markets?

Market pressure on Turkey and Argentina has abated a bit, thanks to a large IMF program that funds Argentina for another year and the apparent ability of Turkey’s banks to roll over a large share of …

What’s in Store for Emerging Markets?

November 9, 2018

China
Foreign Capital Has Been Propping Up China’s Currency. Here’s What Happens When It Leaves.

“I think China’s manipulating their currency, absolutely,” President Trump said back in August. Yet the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) was, and has been, intervening to keep the RMB up, and not to…

Foreign Capital Has Been Propping Up China’s Currency. Here’s What Happens When It Leaves.

February 5, 2019

Israel
Caught Between Giants: How Will Israel Navigate the U.S.-China Tech Cold War?

Given its close diplomatic and security ties with the United States and its growing economic ties with China, where does Israel stand amidst the U.S.-China trade war?

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Chinese Vice President Wang Qishan hit a gong as they attend the fourth Israel-China Joint Committee on Innovation Cooperation meeting at the foreign ministry in Jerusalem, October 24, 2018.