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October 17, 2019

Taiwan
What Might Be in Treasury's October 2019 Foreign Exchange Report?

The Fall 2019 Treasury Foreign Exchange Report should send a strong warning to Thailand, Taiwan, and Singapore that their current pattern of intervention in the market would put them at risk of futur…

What Might Be in Treasury's October 2019 Foreign Exchange Report?

September 30, 2019

Puerto Rico
Is Puerto Rico Back on a Path Toward Debt Sustainability?

The plan of adjustment put forward by the oversight board, if approved by enough creditors and the courts, would cut Puerto Rico’s tax supported debt from $50 billion to $25 billion and smooth its re…

Is Puerto Rico Back on a Path Toward Debt Sustainability?

September 20, 2019

Trade
Why Global Trade Imbalances Could Get Worse Before They Get Better…

Transatlantic imbalances reflect Europe's demand deficit, which should be easy to solve (but isn't). Transpacific imbalances haven't disappeared. And are likely harder to solve, as they stem from an …

Banco De Espana Conference on Global Imbalances and Capital Flows in the Era of New Technologies

October 24, 2019

Japan
A Puzzle in Japan’s Balance of Payments: What Explains Strong Foreign Demand for JGBs?

Japanese investors have an obvious incentive to search for yield abroad. But why has foreign demand for Japanese bonds almost matched Japanese demand for foreign bonds?

A Puzzle in Japan’s Balance of Payments: What Explains Strong Foreign Demand for JGBs?

September 5, 2019

South Korea
Can Korea Provide a New (Fiscal) Model for North Europe’s Twin Surplus Countries?

Korea looks to be doing a real stimulus. Other "twin surplus" countries should too.

Can Korea Provide a New (Fiscal) Model for North Europe’s Twin Surplus Countries?

September 11, 2019

International Economic Policy
Are Asian Insurers the New European Banks?

It is hard to understand the global flow of funds without understanding the risks now being taken by Japanese, Taiwanese, and Korean life insurers.

Are Asian Insurers the New European Banks?

August 13, 2019

China
When it Comes to Exporting (Manufactures), Europe is Now the One from Mars

Manufacturing exports are about three times more important to the euro area than to the U.S. economy. That's largely because the U.S. now exports very few manuactures. And China's imports of ma…

When it Comes to Exporting (Manufactures), Europe is Now the One from Mars

August 12, 2019

United States
$500 Billion in Dividends out of the Double Irish with a Dutch twist (with a bit of Help from Bermuda)

Tax is often the biggest factor in the balance of payments. U.S. firms operating in Bermuda paid $229 billion in dividends back to their U.S. parents in 2018. That’s more than the United States earne…

$500 Billion in Dividends out of the Double Irish with a Dutch twist (with a bit of Help from Bermuda)

October 23, 2005

Economics
Another blogging Brad?

I never realized there were so many "Brad's" (leaving aside the famous one from Missouri now linked to Ms. Jolie) til I started doing this ... DeLong.  Plumer.  And now Brad Humphries over at the…

September 20, 2019

Cybersecurity
Cyber Week in Review: September 20, 2019

Australia concludes China responsible for cyberattack; North Korean hacking groups sanctioned; Facebook heads to Washington; and U.S. blacklisting still hurting Huawei.

Facebook Chief Executive Mark Zuckerberg walks past members of the news media as he walks to the office of U.S. Senator Josh Hawley (R-MO) while meeting with lawmakers to discuss "future internet regulation" on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., September 19, 2019.