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June 17, 2019

International Economic Policy
Three Recommended Changes to U.S. Currency Policy

I have a new Policy Innovation Memo that recommends three changes to U.S. currency policy, and specifically, three changes to the U.S. Treasury’s Foreign Exchange report: 1. The Foreign Currency r…

Passers-by are reflected on a signboard displaying currency signs outside a bank in Tokyo November 27, 2014. REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo

June 14, 2019

China
A Tale of Two Tariffs: China’s So Far Ineffective Tariffs on U.S. Manufacturing Exports

China's tariffs on U.S. commodities? A huge impact. Especially on bilateral trade. But also on global U.S. exports of soybeans. China's tariffs on U.S. manufactures? By comparison, a relative mode…

A Tale of Two Tariffs: China’s So Far Ineffective Tariffs on U.S. Manufacturing Exports

June 12, 2019

China
Did Huawei’s Chip Stockpiling Bring China’s 2018 Trade Surplus Down?

China's 2018 trade surplus fell by a bit more than I would have expected, and it wasn't all because of higher commodity imports. Imports of manufactures were strong relative to export growth. Could t…

Did Huawei’s Chip Stockpiling Bring China’s 2018 Trade Surplus Down?

June 4, 2019

South Korea
Korea, the “Germany” of Northeast Asia…

Korea has no shortage of fiscal space.  It should use it.

Korea, the “Germany” of Northeast Asia…

May 27, 2019

Vietnam
Vietnam Looks To Be Winning Trump's Trade War

Vietnam's exports to the U.S. are growing fast.   It also runs an overall current account surplus. If it has resumed purchasing dollars in the foreign exchange market to keep its currency from app…

Vietnam Looks To Be Winning Trump's Trade War

June 6, 2019

South Africa
South Africa’s New Foreign Minister Is a Starting Point for Improved U.S. Ties

President Cyril Ramaphosa’s appointment of Naledi Pandor as minister of international relations may be a positive step toward improving South Africa’s relations with the United States. Pandor is part of a Ramaphosa’s trimmed-down cabinet whose positions are split equally between men and women. 

South-Africa-Ramaphosa-Naledi-Pandor-Foreign-Minister

June 5, 2019

Mexico
Mexico Can’t Meet Trump’s Tariff Demands

Mexico can’t end the migrant flow by itself. But it can—and likely will—raise tariffs that target swing states.

Trucks cross the borderline into the U.S. before border customs control at the World Trade Bridge, as seen from Laredo, Texas U.S., June 3, 2019. REUTERS/Carlos Jasso

May 7, 2019

Turkey
Turkey’s Stretched Public Banks…

Watch the banking system's acces to lira funding as Turks shift toward foreign currency deposits...

Turkey’s Stretched Public Banks…

May 24, 2019

United States
Remembering Those Memorial Day Honors

The United States has fought twelve major wars and a countless number of smaller skirmishes in its history. Memorial Day is how we honor the soldiers, sailors, airmen, airwomen, and marines who did n…

Memorial Day 2019