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March 22, 2024

United States
Election 2024 Roundup: Are Americans Turning Isolationist?

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential contenders are saying about foreign policy. This Week: Much like talk of Mark Twain’s death, claims that Americans are turning their back on the world are…

The sun as viewed disappearing beneath the horizon.

March 18, 2024

Japan
The Japanese Bid for Foreign Bonds After the End of Yield Curve Control

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is widely expected to end yield curve control. But Japanese yields will remain low, and foreign bonds will remain attractive to those Japanese investors who don’t have to hedg…

The Japanese Bid for Foreign Bonds After the End of Yield Curve Control

March 15, 2024

United States
Campaign Roundup: Joe Biden Opposes the Sale of U.S. Steel to Nippon Steel

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential contenders are saying about foreign policy. This Week: Joe Biden doesn’t want one of America’s closest allies to buy a once iconic American company.

Steel

March 10, 2024

China
China’s Record Manufacturing Surplus

The U.S. likes talking about the dominance of the dollar. But don’t short-change China’s current dominance of manufacturing trade. Trade imbalances need to be taken seriously again.

Manufactured Goods Surpluses

March 1, 2024

United States
Campaign Roundup: President Joe Biden Delivers His Third State of the Union Address

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential contenders are saying about foreign policy. This Week: Joe Biden will likely stress his domestic achievements over his foreign policy challenges when he a…

Biden SOTU

February 22, 2024

Economics
The IMF Needs to Focus on Setting Good Targets for External Debt Sustainability

The IMF has two frameworks for assessing debt sustainability. The market access country framework is more technically advanced, but it isn't delivering reasonable targets for debt restructuring cases…

10-Year Bonds: Key Cases

February 16, 2024

United States
Campaign Roundup: Donald Trump Says He Will Not Protect “Delinquent” NATO Members

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential contenders are saying about foreign policy. This Week: The forty-fifth president says he will encourage Russia to attack NATO countries who don’t spend en…

Trump Photo

February 9, 2024

United States
Campaign Roundup: President Biden Criticizes Israel’s Military Operations in Gaza

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential contenders are saying about foreign policy. This Week: Israel’s war against Hamas is creating policy and political dilemmas for President Biden.

Biden Gaza

February 5, 2024

China
China’s New Currency Playbook

China’s pivot to a new strategy of indirect intervention through its large state banks requires new approaches to policing currency policies by both the U.S. Treasury and IMF.

Settlement by banks in China vs. Yuan-Dollar Exchange Rate

February 1, 2024

Russia
Mobilizing Russia’s Immobilized Reserves

A quick note on the debate over the use of Russia’s frozen reserves.

Euro banknotes at a money exchange office.