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February 8, 2021

Economics
Farewell

I am stepping down from my position at the Council of Foreign Relations to take a new job. That, among other things, means that I will not be blogging here for the foreseeable future. I am enormou…

July 23, 2020

Economics
Revisiting the Ides of March, Part III: Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark

This is a guest blog by Josh Younger, an interest rate strategist at J.P. Morgan. Joshua Younger is employed by the Research Department of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. All views expressed in this forum ar…

Revisiting the Ides of March, Part III: Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark

July 22, 2020

Economics
Revisiting the Ides of March, Part II: The Going Gets Weird

This is a guest blog by Josh Younger, an interest rate strategist at J.P. Morgan. Joshua Younger is employed by the Research Department of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. All views expressed in this forum ar…

Revisiting the Ides of March, Part II: The Going Gets Weird

July 20, 2020

Economics
Revisiting the Ides of March, Part I: A Thousand Year Flood

This is a guest blog by Josh Younger, an interest rate strategist at J.P. Morgan. Joshua Younger is employed by the Research Department of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. All views expressed in this forum ar…

Revisiting the Ides of March, Part I: A Thousand Year Flood

January 6, 2016

Global
Economist Brad W. Setser Returns to CFR as Senior Fellow

Brad W. Setser returns to the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) as a senior fellow with the Maurice R. Greenberg Center for Geoeconomic Studies. 

October 29, 2020

Currency Reserves
It Is Time To Scrap the IMF's Reserve Adequacy Metric

The IMF reserve metric isn't working: it is failing to differentiate between obviously under-reserved countries like Turkey and Argentina and adequately reserved countries like China.

It Is Time To Scrap the IMF's Reserve Adequacy Metric

February 18, 2021

Currency Reserves
The Dollar Privilege

The dollar is the world’s primary reserve currency, accounting for $6.7 trillion in foreign reserves. This has given the United States what some have called “an exorbitant privilege,” allowing it to …

Podcast A one dollar bill

November 4, 2020

Coronavirus
The Global Economy: Heading Toward a Dark Winter?

The next U.S. president will face a teetering global economy and an anemic recovery at home. More government support in the United States and abroad is needed.

October 23, 2020

Turkey
The Changing Nature of Turkey’s Balance Sheet Risks

Pay attention to banking system's foreign currency exposure to the government ...

The Changing Nature of Turkey’s Balance Sheet Risks

October 20, 2020

Trade
China’s Surplus is Rising Rapidly. So is the U.S. Deficit. The IMF Cannot Turn a Blind Eye.

Do not use the IMF’s current account forecast in the Fall 2020 World Economic Outlook (WEO). It is already out of date.     

China’s Surplus is Rising Rapidly. So is the U.S. Deficit. The IMF Cannot Turn a Blind Eye.