Council of Councils
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Introduction
Over the last several decades, governments have collectively pledged to slow global warming. But despite intensified diplomacy, the world is already facing the consequences of climate…
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February 16, 2006
Monetary Policy
So where exactly are all the world’s reserves going?
We don't yet formally know the BEA's estimate for the end of the year current account deficit, but we have a pretty good idea. We also now have a lot of data about how the US financed its current ac…
March 29, 2006
China
Exit Schumer and Graham, Enter Grassley and Baucus
Schumer-Graham won't be brought to a vote until September. China's central bank governor Zhou must be persuasive. Maybe he plotted out where the RMB will likely be if China continues with its cur…
June 21, 2006
United States
So, is Michael Mandel right? Did intangible income (dark matter) ride to the rescue in the first quarter, offsetting rising US debt?
As Michael Mandel has noted, the US income balance improved in the first quarter – contrary to the expectations of “pessimists” like me. I would say “realists” – rising debt usually implies rising i…
July 26, 2006
Emerging Markets
Is Saudi Arabia the new IMF?
Last week I was beginning to think the IMF might be back in business. A couple of press reports hinted that Lebanon’s central bank was facing real pressure. Folks fleeing the country wanted doll…
December 8, 2006
China
Auto parts, China, protectionism
I have long thought that China's move into auto parts was a possible (political) trigger for a new set of stress on Bretton Woods 2 -- the point where the shift of manufacturing production out the US…