Bottom Line: Growth is slowing in China, which could constrain the pace of rebalancing and policy reform. China's long-term growth could disappoint markets. If you are an English football fan, you…

Bottom Line: There's a strong consensus that this fall's fiscal showdown will result in a compromise agreement, but a deal may be harder to get than markets anticipate. Have pity on the U.S. fisca…

Bottom Line: In the face of uncertain capital flows, an international network of swap lines would help to ensure adequate liquidity and act as a significant enhancement of the global financial safety…

Bottom Line: The October U.S. budget agreement provides a short respite, with a new spending showdown likely in January. Although the debt limit extension may last until the summer, the costs of our …