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April 15, 2007

United States
Unimpressive (the results of the IMF’s experiment with multilateral consultation)

Macro Man asked the IMF to sort out a world where the US current account deficit is increasingly financed by the growth in emerging market reserves (and the expansion of a few investment funds).     …

January 6, 2008

Economics
Looking back at the top macroeconomic and financial stories of 2007, and looking forward to 2008

Here is my list of the top five stories of 2007 - and some things that I’ll be watching in 2008. What did I miss?1. The "subprime" crisis. The credibility of Wall Street’s financial engineering …

December 5, 2007

China
Competition — and coordination — within the Chinese state as China goes forth

Today’s Financial Times has an important article by Geoff Dyer and Sundeep Tucker examining the overseas expansion of Chinese companies in general, and Chinese state companies in particular.  It is a…

October 4, 2007

Financial Markets
2007 has been a lot better than 2005 for the dollar bears …

Some no doubt will take a revival of interest in a set of 2004 and 2005 papers (Rogoff-Obstfeld,  Krugman, Roubini-Setser, no doubt others) arguing that a real depreciation in the dollar is needed to…

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May 1, 2005

China
Will China get hit by the cover jinx?

It is a bit hard to start shorting the renminbi (RMB/ the Chinese currency) just because China has now made its appearance on the cover of Newsweek. It is hard to short something that has yet to be …