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December 29, 2004

If you cannot beat em, join em

Daniel Gross’s article on the currency preferences of the world’s underworld is too good not to link to. It seems like the world’s drug lords are less willing than the People’s Bank of China to fina…

June 19, 2005

China
Two articles on China. One good. One not so good.

Reuters has done a nice wrap up of what we know -- and more importantly what we don’t know -- about how China manages its reserves. They correctly note that the TIC data misses so much that it, alon…

May 14, 2005

Economics
It seems like both the People’s Bank of China and W

hold lots of worthless IOUs in their portfolios (link via Dan Gross/ Moneyblog).There seems to be a lot to talk about this weekend, whether the Fed’s various views on the risks associated with the US…

August 24, 2005

United States
Are we ignoring the United States’ strengths?

Anantha Nageswaran of Libran Asset Management in Singapore has submitted a set of (lengthy) comments that respond, in some sense, to many of the points I and others have raised on this blog.   Check …

July 18, 2005

China
If your reserves are growing by $300 billion a year

China indicated its reserves have increased to $711 billion at the end of June -- up $101 billion from the end of December 2004. Actually, they are up more than that. China transferred $15 billion …

January 19, 2006

Financial Markets
The global flow of oil

The health of the US economy - and for that matter the world economy - hinges on the sustained flow of capital from the world's emerging economies to the US.   The health of the US economy also d…

March 18, 2006

United States
What Geithner said. And then some

Most of the blogosphere has already weighed in on Tim Geithner's most recent speech.   I am a bit late to the party.   And I may not have much to add. I deeply agree with Geithner's argument…

January 8, 2006

Monetary Policy
Sit back and watch Asia’s reserves grow.

Not because Taiwan is reportedly intervening once again last week.   But because Asia holds lots of euros and yen.    The euro rose 2.4% against the dollar last week, the yen by 2.8%.  And Asia holds…

March 31, 2006

Europe
France: The most “Anglo-Saxon” of the big 3 continental economies

That's a headline you won't see in the financial or popular press.  The basic narrative is already established:  France won't change, and as a result, will lag behind the more flexible "A…

April 24, 2006

RGE pays my salary, not the IIE — and I am not exactly a true believer in dark matter

Patrick Smith seems to be based in Hong Kong, so I guess I can forgive him for thinking I work for the IIE (the Institute for International Economics).  The IIE is a great place, but they , alas, don…