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February 18, 2020

Cybersecurity
Cyber Deterrence Is Dead. Long Live Cyber Deterrence!

Although the concept of cyber deterrence has fallen out of fashion in academic literature in recent years, it is being remolded in emerging approaches to national security. 

Sr Airman Jose Rivera, infrastructure technician U.S. Air Force, works at the 561st Network Operations Squadron (NOS) at Petersen Air Force Base in Colorado Springs, Colorado

June 2, 2010

Iran
Deterrence Misapplied

Overview Given the nature and structure of its government, is it possible to contain an Iran with nuclear weapons? In this discussion paper, sponsored by the Carnegie Corporation of New York, Fred…

Deterrence Misapplied header

April 22, 2019

North Korea
Deterrence and Detente on the Korean Peninsula

At this time of uncertainty, the U.S.-ROK alliance needs a strategy that supports best-case outcomes but also hedges against worst-case scenarios.

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April 29, 2019

South Korea
U.S. Extended Deterrence and the Korean Peninsula's Changing Threat Environment

Transparency about the U.S. extended deterrent is critical to U.S.-ROK alliance coordination.

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June 10, 2019

North Korea
Defense in Support of Diplomacy: Re-designing the ROK-U.S. Deterrence Posture

The South Korea-U.S. alliance should guard against the erosion of defense capabilities, address constraints on its current military posture, and innovate its approach to security cooperation and dete…

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June 11, 2018

Cybersecurity
Not The Cyber Deterrence the United States Wants

The U.S. approach to cyber deterrence assumes that Washington will be deterring others. The Obama administration's response to Russian interference in the 2016 election tests that assumption. 

NYC Blackout

September 11, 2017

Israel
Israel and Hezbollah: Deterrence and the Threat of Miscalculation

Neither Israel nor Hezbollah may want to return to war, but the risk of conflict is real—especially in Syria. The Trump administration can take action to prevent unintended escalation.

Hezbollah fighters in Syria.

March 27, 2013

China
South Korea’s Nuclear Debate and the Credibility of U.S. Extended Deterrence

North Korea’s third nuclear test last month unleashed an active South Korean debate on nuclear weapons acquisition along with calls for the reintroduction of U.S. tactical nuclear weapons to deter an…

USN

August 8, 2018

NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization)
NATO's Deterrence Problem: An Analog Strategy for a Digital Age

As cyberattacks increase in destructive potential and remain difficult to attribute, NATO faces a dilemma of whether and how to adapt their policy of strategic ambiguity to a new era of cyberwarfare…

The sign of the NATO Cooperative Cyber Defence Center of Excellence in Tallinn, Estonia on November 29, 2017.

January 25, 2016

Cybersecurity
An Expansive, and Dangerous, Chinese View on Cyber Deterrence

In most open source writings, Chinese analysts tend to discount the possibility of deterrence in cyberspace. Attribution, detection, and monitoring are hard. Attacks can come from state and non-state…

cfr cyber china deterrence net politics