201 Results for:

July 2, 2015

Europe and Eurasia
Greece Fallout: Italy and Spain Have Funded a Massive Backdoor Bailout of French Banks

In March 2010, two months before the announcement of the first Greek bailout, European banks had €134 billion worth of claims on Greece.  French banks, as shown in the right-hand figure above, had…

Greece Fallout: Italy and Spain Have Funded a Massive Backdoor Bailout of French Banks

June 24, 2015

Europe and Eurasia
A Full Greek IMF-Debt Default Would Be Four Times All Previous Defaults Combined

Since the IMF’s launch in 1946, 27 countries have had overdue financial obligations of 6 months or more.*  But the amounts involved have always been small, never exceeding SDR 1bn ($1.4bn). This …

A Full Greek IMF-Debt Default Would Be Four Times All Previous Defaults Combined

June 23, 2015

Europe and Eurasia
Greece and Its Creditors Should Do a Guns-For-Pensions Deal

IMF Chief Economist Olivier Blanchard has said that Greece needs to slash pension spending by 1% of GDP in order to reach its new budget targets.  The Greek government continues to resist, arguing…

Greece and Its Creditors Should Do a Guns-For-Pensions Deal

June 5, 2015

Europe and Eurasia
Greece-Troika Gap Over Primary Surpluses Has Shrunk Dramatically

Greece has announced that it will not pay the IMF the €300 million due to the Fund on June 5.  Instead, it will “bundle” the payments due to the Fund over the course of June into one payment of ab…

Greece-Troika Gap Over Primary Surpluses Has Shrunk Dramatically

June 1, 2015

Monetary Policy
Are Fed Watchers Watching the Wrong People?

One effect of the financial crisis was to change how the Fed conducts monetary policy.  This could be long-lasting and important.Prior to the crisis, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) set a…

Are Fed Watchers Watching the Wrong People?

May 21, 2015

China
Are China’s RMB Swap Lines an Empty Vessel?

As our recent CFR interactive shows, central bank currency swaps have spread like wildfire since the financial crisis.  In 2006, the Fed had only two open swap lines outstanding, with Canada and M…

Are China’s RMB Swap Lines an Empty Vessel?

May 7, 2015

Europe and Eurasia
Which Countries Stand to Lose Big from a Greek Default?

The IMF has turned up the heat on Greece’s Eurozone neighbors, calling on them to write off “significant amounts” of Greek sovereign debt.  Writing off debt, however, doesn’t make the pain disappe…

Which Countries Stand to Lose Big from a Greek Default?

April 9, 2015

Financial Markets
CFR Central Bank Currency Swap Interactive

Central bank currency swaps are becoming the new cross-border tool of choice in financial crisis management.  This interactive explores the rapid growth of currency swaps since 2007 and its implicati…

Central Bank Currency Swaps Since the Financial Crisis

April 20, 2015

China
Should the United States Encourage Japan to Join the AIIB?

On April 15, China’s finance ministry revealed the 57 “prospective founding members” of the new Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, of which China is the architect.   The likely founders include…

Should the United States Encourage Japan to Join the AIIB?

April 8, 2015

China
Are China’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Really Falling?

Bloomberg and other media outlets have been highlighting the apparent significant recent fall in China’s foreign exchange reserves, suggesting that the development had important implications. In …

Are China’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Really Falling?