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March 14, 2018

Kenya
Pulling Kenya Back From the Brink

Odinga has called off his defiance campaign against the Kenyatta government, while Kenyatta apparently is allowing Odinga to continue to use the title “people’s president." The official document released detailing the pact refers to both as “his excellency.”

Kenya-Kenyatta-Odinga-Reconciliation-NASA-Jubilee

December 5, 2019

Brazil
Brazil's Data Protection Paradox

Brazil recently passed legislation to strengthen data protection. But the country's public authorities have yet to establish a data protection agency. Uncertainty is mounting and could throw the enti…

Customers use computers at an internet cafe in Sao Paulo.

December 5, 2019

Southeast Asia
Looking Ahead to Next Year: Southeast Asia’s Big 2020 Elections

Coming off a year with critical elections in Thailand and Indonesia, in 2020 Southeast Asians will go to the polls in several important countries. Most notably, both Singapore and Myanmar will hold g…

Myanmar's State Counsellor Aung San Suu Kyi arrives at a school in Kawhmu, Yangon, Myanmar, on July 18, 2019.

December 4, 2019

Uganda
Uganda Renews Clampdown on the LGBT Community

Neil Edwards is the volunteer intern for CFR's Africa Program in Washington, DC. He is a master's candidate at the School of International Service at American University and a returned Peace Corps Rw…

Uganda police officers question a member of Uganda's LGBT community during their pride parade in Entebbe, near  Kampala, before police asked LGBT members to abandon their gathering, on September 24, 2016.

November 26, 2019

Rwanda
Kagame’s Spat With Museveni Is Costing Rwandans

On November 10, Rwandan security forces shot dead two Ugandan nationals accused of smuggling tobacco across the border. Smuggling has become more common after Rwanda closed its border with Uganda in late February amidst a dispute between Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni and Rwandan President Paul Kagame.

Rwandan President Paul Kagame (R) and his Ugandan counterpart Yoweri Museveni follow the proceedings of the 20th anniversary commemoration of the Rwandan genocide, in Kigali April 7, 2014.

November 19, 2019

United States
Trump’s Sisyphean Task: Bringing Down the U.S. Trade Deficit Without A Fall in the Dollar

Stalled export growth is more a function of the strong dollar than of Trump's trade wars. U.S. non-petrol exports haven't grown over the last five years.

Trump’s Sisyphean Task: Bringing Down the U.S. Trade Deficit Without A Fall in the Dollar

November 5, 2019

Uganda
How Will China React to Uganda’s Looming Debt Crisis?

Uganda is heading toward a debt crisis. According to a senior official at the Bank of Uganda, unless the country is able to sustain a growth rate of at least 7 percent—which economic projections show Uganda will not do—the country will default on its payments. As is the case for many African countries, China is Uganda’s largest creditor, making up 39 percent of total debt this past fiscal year. If Uganda defaults, it is unclear how China will react.

Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni shakes hands with Chinese President Xi Jinping flanked by Chinese and Ugandan flags.

October 30, 2019

Election 2020
Meet Bill Weld, Republican Presidential Candidate

Bill Weld was the first Republican to officially announce he would challenge Donald Trump for the Republican presidential nomination. Weld knows that his bid faces long odds. Roughly nine out of ten …

Bill Weld

October 29, 2019

Taiwan
Looking for the Mysterious Hedging Counterparty of Taiwan's Lifers

This gathers the six post series I did with Concentrated Ambiguity into a single easy accessible post.

fig 15

July 30, 2019

Trade
Elizabeth Warren's "New Approach to Trade" Looks Awfully Dated

The Democratic candidate has laid out a comprehensive trade policy, but it speaks more to party activists than to voters.

Elizabeth Warren