December 5, 2019Southeast Asia
Coming off a year with critical elections in Thailand and Indonesia, in 2020 Southeast Asians will go to the polls in several important countries. Most notably, both Singapore and Myanmar will hold g…
November 26, 2019Rwanda
On November 10, Rwandan security forces shot dead two Ugandan nationals accused of smuggling tobacco across the border. Smuggling has become more common after Rwanda closed its border with Uganda in late February amidst a dispute between Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni and Rwandan President Paul Kagame.
November 19, 2019United States
Stalled export growth is more a function of the strong dollar than of Trump's trade wars. U.S. non-petrol exports haven't grown over the last five years.
July 30, 2019Trade
The Democratic candidate has laid out a comprehensive trade policy, but it speaks more to party activists than to voters.
November 5, 2019Uganda
Uganda is heading toward a debt crisis. According to a senior official at the Bank of Uganda, unless the country is able to sustain a growth rate of at least 7 percent—which economic projections show Uganda will not do—the country will default on its payments. As is the case for many African countries, China is Uganda’s largest creditor, making up 39 percent of total debt this past fiscal year. If Uganda defaults, it is unclear how China will react.
November 12, 2015Europe and Eurasia
All eyes and ears are on the Fed as it ponders its first rate increase in nine years. IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde fears a rerun of the 2013 “taper tantrum,” or what we have been calli…
October 29, 2019Taiwan
This gathers the six post series I did with Concentrated Ambiguity into a single easy accessible post.
October 23, 2019Europe
This week’s episode of The President’s Inbox is live. I sat down with Sebastian Mallaby, CFR’s Paul A. Volcker senior fellow for international economics, to discuss the deal that British Prime Minist…