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January 26, 2020

Economics
Leprechaun Adjusted Euro Area GDP…

The entire euro area's economic statistics now need to be adjusted to remove the distortions created by the tax transactions of large multinationals operating in Ireland and the Netherlands. Headline…

Leprechaun Adjusted Euro Area GDP…

March 31, 2020

International Economic Policy
Not One Emerging Market Financial Crisis, But Many…

The common denominator across many emerging economies is a shortage of dollars. But the causes differ, as do the solutions.

A worker wearing a protective suit is seen inside the Shanghai Stock Exchange building amid the coronavirus outbreak, at the Pudong financial district in Shanghai, China February 28, 2020.

March 25, 2020

Brazil
Brazil-EU Cyber Cooperation: Swinging Bridges on the Road to Stability in Cyberspace

The February 20 Brazil-EU Cyber Dialogue signaled the most recent step taken by Brasília and Brussels to collaborate on advancing responsible state behavior in cyberspace. While there have sometimes …

France's President Emmanuel Macron, Spain’s Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, Germany’s Chancellor Angela Merkel, European Council President Donald Tusk, Brazil's President Jair Bolsonaro, and Argentina's President Mauricio Macri during a news conference.

March 22, 2020

International Economic Policy
How Asia’s Life Insurers Could “Shelter-In-Place”

Asia’s life insurers likely hold somewhere between $1.5 trillion and $2 trillion of foreign currency denominated bonds as part of their portfolio—mostly dollar denominated, but some in euros. Japanes…

Japan, Taiwan, korea Lifers' Foreign Security Holdings (USD Billions)

November 5, 2019

Defense and Security
Why Would Arab Leaders Pursue Strategic Partnerships With Russia?

Amir Asmar is a Department of Defense analyst and CFR’s national intelligence fellow. Throughout his intelligence career, his primary area of focus has been the Middle East. He held a wide range of a…

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Mohamed bin Zayed al-Nahyan attend a welcome ceremony in the United Arab Emirates, on October 15, 2019.

March 17, 2020

International Economic Policy
Addressing the Global Dollar Shortage: More Swap Lines? A New Fed Repo Facility for Central Banks? More IMF Lending?

There is a global scramble for dollars going on. It needs to be addressed through creative policies.

FILE PHOTO: One hundred dollar notes are seen in this photo illustration at a bank in Seoul January 9, 2013.

March 11, 2020

Taiwan
It Is Time for a Currency Manipulation Truce… Especially as Taiwan Disclosed Its True Foreign Exchange Position

There is no need for the Treasury to put out its foreign exchange report on time this April. There are other, more pressing priorities. And if it does, the Treasury should exercise its discretion to …

It Is Time for a Currency Manipulation Truce… Especially as Taiwan Disclosed Its True Foreign Exchange Position

February 26, 2020

Nigeria
Significant Rise of Insecurity in the Niger Delta Through 2019

A recently published annual report by the Foundation for Partnership Initiative in the Niger Delta (PIND) is a salutary reminder of violence in the Niger Delta. The report, the Niger Delta Annual Conflict Report [PDF], shows that there were 416 violent incidents resulting in over one thousand recorded deaths in 2019. The Niger Delta produces most of Nigeria's oil.

A young man in a white tank top, white bandanna, a plaid cloth rapped around his waist, and a chain of bullets over his shoulder, rests a heavy machine gun on the roof of a small grey patrol boat as it moves down the a river with forrested banks.

February 18, 2020

Lebanon
Lebanon’s Imminent Financial Crisis

Lebanon is in a deep financial hole, with no obvious way out.

Lebanon’s Imminent Financial Crisis

February 13, 2020

Diplomacy and International Institutions
The Corrosion of World Order in the Age of Donald Trump

Can the world still work together to address today’s most pressing global challenges? A broken economic order, Trump’s incoherent foreign policy, and the corrosion of trust offer little to be optimis…

An American flag is illuminated in the empty U.S. Capitol rotunda in Washington, U.S. on January 24, 2020.