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May 30, 2017

China
A Few Words on China’s “New” Exchange Rate Regime A Few Words on China’s “New” Exchange Rate Regime

The return of the "fix" doesn't answer the more fundamental question of how China intends to manage its currency.

July 10, 2018

China
My Latest Take on China's Foreign Exchange Intervention Proxies My Latest Take on China's Foreign Exchange Intervention Proxies

This one is for my currency trading friends...

April 13, 2018

Thailand
Previewing the U.S. Treasury’s April Foreign Exchange Report Previewing the U.S. Treasury’s April Foreign Exchange Report

The U.S. Treasury Department’s next foreign exchange report is due on April 15—so it should come out soon, maybe even tonight. Normally the section on China attracts all the attention. But righ…

February 19, 2013

Financial Markets
The G-7, the G-20 and Exchange Rates

For those interested in policy coordination and exchange rate policy, last week was both entertaining and informative.  U.S. Treasury official Lael Brainard’s G-20 background briefing last Monday, in…

February 17, 2010

United States
China’s Exchange Rate Policy: The Heat Is On

International pressure must continue on China to allow its currency to appreciate, which would provide an important boost to the global economic recovery, writes CFR’s Steven Dunaway.

October 23, 2017

Asia
Make the Foreign Exchange Report Great (Again) Make the Foreign Exchange Report Great (Again)

The Trump Administration wants to bring down the U.S. trade deficit. A number of manufacturing-heavy Asian economies run sizable current account surpluses. Over the course of the summer, some of t…

July 5, 2018

Aging, Youth Bulges, and Population
Kenya-Kibera-Slum-Urbanization-Population-Growth Africa's Rapid Urban Population Growth Is Problematic, but Can Be Managed

A rapidly growing population will create a “demographic dividend,” and urbanization will accelerate economic development, or so the “Africa rising” narrative goes. Given Africa’s lack of basic infrastructure, ranging from roads to hospitals to schools, both propositions are dubious.

September 5, 2017

Trade
Looking Back at the Impact of Real Exchange Rate Moves on Exports Looking Back at the Impact of Real Exchange Rate Moves on Exports

G-3 exchange rate moves over the past four years have had expected impacts on trade flows

June 9, 2017

Japan
Yes Virginia, Exchange Rates Matter (The Case of Japan) Yes Virginia, Exchange Rates Matter (The Case of Japan)

Since the end of 2012, the yen has depreciated significantly and the dollar has appreciated significantly. Enough time has passed to look at how U.S. and Japanese exports have responded to these exch…

January 19, 2011

China
U.S.-China Exchange Rate Thicket

China’s exchange rate policy will dominate the economic dialogue between the United States and China during President Hu’s state visit to Washington. There’s scant hope differences can be resolved, s…