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July 20, 2020

Economics
Revisiting the Ides of March, Part I: A Thousand Year Flood

This is a guest blog by Josh Younger, an interest rate strategist at J.P. Morgan. Joshua Younger is employed by the Research Department of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. All views expressed in this forum ar…

Revisiting the Ides of March, Part I: A Thousand Year Flood

July 22, 2020

Economics
Revisiting the Ides of March, Part II: The Going Gets Weird

This is a guest blog by Josh Younger, an interest rate strategist at J.P. Morgan. Joshua Younger is employed by the Research Department of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. All views expressed in this forum ar…

Revisiting the Ides of March, Part II: The Going Gets Weird

July 23, 2020

Economics
Revisiting the Ides of March, Part III: Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark

This is a guest blog by Josh Younger, an interest rate strategist at J.P. Morgan. Joshua Younger is employed by the Research Department of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. All views expressed in this forum ar…

Revisiting the Ides of March, Part III: Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark

October 23, 2005

Economics
Another blogging Brad?

I never realized there were so many "Brad's" (leaving aside the famous one from Missouri now linked to Ms. Jolie) til I started doing this ... DeLong.  Plumer.  And now Brad Humphries over at the…

July 12, 2007

Economics
In memorium: Velma Setser

My grandmother passed away earlier this week, after a long and healthy life.  I’ll resume posting on economic and financial issues on Monday. My grandmother lived to be 95 – and had the good fortune …

April 25, 2018

Ireland
Tax Avoidance and the Irish Balance of Payments

At this point, profit shifting by multinational corporations doesn’t distort Ireland’s balance of payments; it constitutes Ireland’s balance of payments.

Irish Flag and Apple Logo

October 15, 2019

Taiwan
What Does Taiwan’s Hidden Forward Book Mean for Taiwan’s Financial Stability and U.S. Currency Policy?

Taiwan's central bank—and Taiwanese households—have taken on an awful lot of foreign currency risk over the years …

treasury fx intervention taiwan 4

October 4, 2019

Taiwan
Shadow FX Intervention in Taiwan: Solving a 100+ billion dollar enigma (Part 2)

Large-scale purchases of foreign bonds have become the central flow sustaining Taiwan’s massive current account surplus and keeping the Taiwan dollar weak. The size of this flow raises the question o…

Shadow FX Intervention in Taiwan: Solving a 100+ billion dollar enigma (Part 2)

March 16, 2007

United States
Jen v. Setser on exchange rates and global adjustment

It is fair to say that I see the world very differently than Dr. Jen.  He thinks imbalances are a natural byproduct of globalization.    I think they are a natural byproduct of undervalued exchange r…

regional_balance_smaller

April 20, 2012

United States
Guest Post: Colombia’s Displaced

This is a guest post by Stephanie Leutert, a research associate here at the Council on Foreign Relations who works with me in the Latin America program. The best known Colombian security story is …

Colombia's Displaced- Latin America's Moment