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February 2, 2005

Budget, Debt, and Deficits
Limiting the supply of the ten-year Treasury note

I have discussed at length the support for the Treasury market provided by foreign central banks.But that is only part of the story. I have also alluded to the role played by Treasury’s debt manageme…

February 24, 2005

Monetary Policy
An Asian OPEC?

A less kind headline might be "Asian policy makers meet, agree to continue manipulating foreign exchange markets" Still, this Bloomberg article (link thanks to Calculated Risk) suggests that there ma…

April 19, 2005

Emerging Markets
Martin Wolf, Korea’s Central Bank, and Collateralized Debt Obligations

Somehow, all three are linked together today in my mind. And at some level, they do all connect. As Martin Wolf notes, Asia’s current account surplus (savings surplus) shows up in the phenomenal gr…

May 4, 2005

Budget, Debt, and Deficits
Systemic risk and the thirty year bond …

I have long worried that as the carry trade gets less profitable (i.e. the difference between the interest rate on short-term and long-term debt falls), hedge funds would respond by doubling up their…

June 14, 2005

China
How to explain China’s success?

If China were growing slowly, there would be no shortage of potential explanations.Free labor market in China? Not even close. The household permit system is an enormous impediment to free labor mo…