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November 19, 2004

Greenspan in the news

Alan Greenspan’s comments on the US twin deficits are getting lots of play. Just saying that at some point foreign appetite for US assets is likely to diminish and won’t stay at its current strong p…

March 9, 2005

Emerging Markets
Brad DeLong covers the Argentine crisis, in one night

DeLong is clearly working his way through Paul Blustein’s book on Argentina. Martin Wolf has a column on Argentina’s restructuring in yesterday’s Financial Times, which I quite liked, for rather obv…

September 18, 2005

United States
Synthetic CDOs, China and Systemic Risk

I suspect the stock of outstanding synthetic credit derivatives -- $ 1500 b in synthetic CDOs in 2004 v. $300 b or so in 2001, according to Mark Whitehouse of the Wall Street Journal -- is the only t…

November 15, 2005

Economics
RGE Econoblog with Sebastian Mallaby

OK, not a true Wall Street Journal style Econoblog.   But Sebastian Mallaby of the Washington Post noted my response to his October 31st column, and has agreed to allow me to publish our email exchan…

June 29, 2006

Emerging Markets
Levered long/ long funds …

An anonymous partner at a mid-sized London hedge fund expressed something I was trying to say a couple of weeks ago fair better than I could have.   From the Financial Times: "A lot of managers…

March 10, 2008

Monetary Policy
What are Zhou and al-Sayyari doing? Reserve management and the Fed’s balance sheet operations

Paul Krugman noted that his discussion of the Fed’s recent policy steps was rather wonkish. If that is true, my comments will be off-the-wonkish charts. I want to try to bring the actions of foreign …

July 12, 2008

Monetary Policy
Too Chinese (and Russian) to fail?

The epicenter of the US financial crisis now seems to have shifted to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac -- the government sponsored enterprises that dominate the market for US housing finance. Few inst…

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August 18, 2008

Monetary Policy
Ut-oh

Agency spreads have widened. See John Jansen for all the gory details. The New York Fed’s custodial holdings of Agencies haven’t grown at anything like their typical pace over the past few weeks. …

March 17, 2009

Financial Markets
"Concentrations of risk, plagued with deadly correlations"

The FT’s Gillian Tett makes a simple but important point: AIG’s role in the credit default swap market meant that a lot of risk that the bank regulators thought had been dispersed into many strong ha…

March 14, 2009

Monetary Policy
China has more to worry about than its Treasury holdings

Premier Wen knows how to get attention; all he has to do is raise a few doubts about China’s ongoing willingness to keep on buying US assets. The FT, the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times …

China has more to worry about than its Treasury holdings