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January 17, 2006

United States
Where is the trade deficit heading? How I differ from Justin Lahart (and a few others)

Justin Lahart (of the Wall Street Journal's Ahead of the Tape column) correctly called the fall in the monthly trade deficit last Thursday. But he - channeling Jim Griffin of ING investment managemen…

June 12, 2006

Economics
Maybe Disney doesn’t generate so much dark matter after all

Check out today's Wall Street Journal story on Hong Kong Disneyland.  It doesn't seem to be living up to expectations.Disney is making dozens of changes to make the experience more understandable to …

September 18, 2006

United States
On track for a $900b current account deficit (assuming the financing is there)

The q1 current account deficit got revised up (income and transfers always looked a bit low).   And q2  is a bit bigger than q1.     As Lex notes, the US income balance is pretty clearly now in the r…

April 9, 2007

Monetary Policy
What have the world’s central banks been up to? The latest Treasury survey provides some clues

I suspect I am one of a very small number of people who eagerly awaits the publication of the Treasury’s annual survey for foreign portfolio investment.     Wall Street doesn’t find it particularly u…

June 20, 2007

United States
Does Bretton Woods 2 end with a bang or with a wimper — a dialogue

What follows is a bit of an experiment.   I am posting -- with permission -- a lightly edited version of an email exchange that I had with a global equity portfolio manager a few days ago.   Like all…