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June 19, 2019

Iran
Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, and Hard Power

I woke up this morning thinking I would write a blog explaining just how challenging it would be for Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz for a prolonged period of time. This is not to say that there c…

Explosions that damaged two tankers south of the Strait of Hormuz on June 13, 2019 come a month after four vessels were targeted in "sabotage attacks" off the coast of the United Arab Emirates.

November 3, 2015

Immigration and Migration
Interview with Jim Zirin

Last week, I had the pleasure of joining Jim Zirin on "Conversations in the Digital Age" to discuss U.S. immigration and the U.S.-Mexico relationship. Recently aired, you can watch the interview here.

Interview with Jim Zirin - LAM

March 12, 2010

China
Why is U.S.-China Strategic Coordination So Hard?

Photo Courtesy of REUTERS/Jim Young Richard Holbrooke, the president’s special envoy for Afghanistan and Pakistan, says that Washington and Beijing are “talking about common strategic symmetry.” “W…

Why is U.S.-China Strategic Coordination So Hard?

January 24, 2020

Economics
Leprechaun Adjusted Euro Area GDP…

The entire euro area's economic statistics now need to be adjusted to remove the distortions created by the tax transactions of large multinationals operating in Ireland and the Netherlands.   Headli…

Leprechaun Adjusted Euro Area GDP…

January 23, 2020

Nigeria
Borno State Increasingly Isolated as Boko Haram Threatens Roads

Over the last couple of weeks, Boko Haram has increased attacks on the road from Maiduguri to Kano, the only remaining safe highway of the six major roads that connect Maiduguri with the rest of the state and country, according to Nigeria media. A major report on the increasing isolation of Maiduguri closely follows Boko Haram attacks on transmission lines supplying the city with electricity. Destroyed bridges and frequent attacks on travelers have cut off not only Maiduguri residents, but many other residents of Borno state from accessing or travelling to Borno’s neighboring states.

The city gate of Maiduguri along Bulumkutu road, on July 26, 2019, in Maiduguri, Borno State, Nigeria.

January 17, 2020

Election 2020
Campaign Foreign Policy Roundup: The Seventh Democratic Debate

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential challengers are saying about foreign policy. This week: the Democrats debate in Des Moines, the New York Times interviews the candidates, and two new poll…

The top six Democratic presidential challengers take the stage at the January 14 debate in Des Moines, Iowa.

January 16, 2020

United States
Five Questions About the Senate Impeachment Trial Answered

The impeachment trial of President Donald Trump began today as the House trial managers read the articles of impeachment on the Senate floor and Chief Justice John Roberts swore in ninety-nine U.S. s…

Impeachment

January 14, 2020

Taiwan
All Sound and No Fury? Will The Trump Administration Get Tough on Currency in April?

A number of Asian countries could be designated as manipulators in the U.S. Treasury's April foreign exchange report. And unlike the politically motivated designation of China last summer, there woul…

All Sound and No Fury? Will The Trump Administration Get Tough on Currency in April?

January 6, 2020

China
More Trade Destruction than Trade Diversion Right Now

Earlier in the year, there was a plausible argument that Trump's tariffs were mostly just diverting U.S. demand to other markets. But in recent months imports from China and imports from the United S…

More Trade Destruction than Trade  Diversion Right Now

January 2, 2020

Sudan
Sudan’s Transformative Year and the Challenges Ahead

2019 brought spectacular change to Sudan. It’s hard to overstate the astonishing distance the country has traveled over the past year. Recent headlines feature reports of truly unfettered humanitarian access, the conviction of former President Omar al-Bashir on corruption charges, and concrete steps on the part of the state to promote religious tolerance.

A Sudanese man wears a national flag and flashes the victory sign as people gather during the first anniversary of the start of the uprising that toppled long-time ruler Omar al-Bashir, in Khartoum, Sudan December 19, 2019