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February 13, 2019

Nigeria
Nigeria Is Oil Dependent, not Oil Rich

At a business breakfast on February 7, Doyin Salami pointed out the elephant in the living room of Nigeria’s economy. The country is not oil rich; rather it is oil dependent. He asked attendees to acknowledge this distinction.

Nigeria-Oil-Pollution-Rivers-State

February 12, 2019

West Africa
Problems in the Sahel Only Growing, Says ACLED

Each year, the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) issues Ten Conflicts to Worry About, [PDF] a report flagging serious conflicts that are often underreported. The Sahel was listed as the region “most likely to be the geopolitical dilemma of 2019.” 

Mali-Gao-Macron-France-Sahel-Barkhane

February 11, 2019

Nigeria
Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: February 2–8

This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger between February 2 to 8, 2019.

Nigeria-Boko-Haram-Terrorism-Security-Tracker

February 15, 2019

Nigeria
Tracking Election Violence in Nigeria

Nigeria will hold its sixth national election since the current transition toward democracy began with the end of military rule in 1999. Despite some seventy presidential candidates, the competition for the presidency is really a two-horse race. It pits incumbent President Muhammadu Buhari of the All Progressives Congress (APC) against former Vice President Atiku Abubakar of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP). 

Nigeria-Election-Violence-Poster

February 8, 2019

Nigeria
Nigeria’s Election: What to Know

The Giant of Africa’s next president will have to contend with daunting security and economic challenges.

Supporters sit on camels during a campaign rally for President Muhammadu Buhari in Kano.

February 5, 2019

South Africa
The Economic Freedom Fighters, South Africa's Enfant Terrible

On February 2, the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) unveiled its election manifesto with spectacle and fiery rhetoric characteristic of its leader, Julius Malema. It reiterated its position on land and mine ownership, called for the doubling of social grants (welfare payments), and for increases in spending on educational infrastructure and healthcare.

South-Africa-Malema-EFF-Elections-Manifesto

February 8, 2019

Democratic Republic of Congo
An Alternative Perspective on the U.S. Decision to Recognize Tshisekedi

In the daily Africa in Transition blog, on February 6, 2019, Ambassador Michelle Gavin, a Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations Africa Program, harshly criticized the United States government’s policy toward the December 2018 presidential election in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

DRC-Congo-Kinshasa-Tshisekedi-Inauguration

February 4, 2019

Nigeria
Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: January 26–February 1

This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger between January 26 to February 1, 2019.

Nigeria-Boko-Haram-Terrorism-Security-Tracker

February 1, 2019

South Africa
Zondo Commission Witness Details State Capture in South Africa

In January 2018, Ramaphosa appointed a Judicial Commission of Inquiry into “state capture,” the label commonly used in South Africa for government corruption. The testimony to the Zondo Commission of Angelo Agrizzi details the extravagant bribes paid by companies to the highest level of the governing African National Congress (ANC), mostly in return for highly lucrative contracts.

South-Africa-Agrizzi-Zondo-Commission-Corruption

February 1, 2019

Nigeria
Nigeria Security Tracker

The Council on Foreign Relations's Nigeria Security Tracker is an effort to catalog and map political violence based on a weekly survey of Nigerian and international press. The data presented includes violent incidents related to political, economic, and social grievances directed at the state or other affiliative groups (or conversely the state employing violence to respond to those incidents.)