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May 10, 2019

United Kingdom
Archie, Africa, and the Commonwealth

The birth of Archie, the first son of the Duke and Duchess of Sussex, has led to British media speculation, picked-up by the New York Times, that the Queen (actually, in conjunction with the Theresa May government) may dispatch them to Africa for a undetermined period. Their role, beyond lubricating the UK’s ties with its former African colonies, would be to build support for the Commonwealth of Nations. It would also get the Royal couple out of the media circus surrounding Archie’s birth. There is further speculation that Archie’s mixed race would make the family particularly attractive to Africans.

UK-Archie-Harry-Meghan-Sussex

May 8, 2019

South Africa
South Africans Vote Today in Sixth National Elections Since Apartheid

Today, South Africans will vote for national and provincial assemblies, who in turn will form national and provincial governments. South Africans will choose between parties, not candidates, under South Africa’s system of proportional representation. The main parties are the ANC, DA, and EFF.

South-Africa-Election-2019-Voters

May 7, 2019

Nigeria
Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: April 27–May 3

This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger from April 27 to May 3, 2019.

Nigeria-Boko-Haram-Terrorism-Security-Tracker

May 6, 2019

South Africa
Background to South Africa's National Elections on May 8

On May 8, South Africans will vote in national elections for the sixth time since the end of apartheid and the transition to “non-racial” elections in 1994. While there are forty-eight political parties contesting, only three have a reasonable chance of forming a government. They are the ANC, the Democratic Alliance (DA), and the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF).

SouthAfricaElection

May 9, 2019

Sudan
The Roots of Sudan's Upheaval

While the Sudanese military expelled President Omar al-Bashir from office, the people of Sudan are ultimately responsible for toppling his regime, and the leaders of the protest movement have promised not to let up until civilian rule is secured. They well know that any persistence of military control represents a continuation of the Bashir regime, and in particular, the Arabic-speaking population’s monopoly of power.

Sudan-Protest-Bashir-Transition

May 3, 2019

Democratic Republic of Congo
Distrust at Core of Ebola Crisis in Eastern Congo

The Ebola vaccine is proving highly effective in Eastern Conog, but distrust of health workers, skepticism of the disease’s existence, and attacks on medical facilities are stymying progress.

Congo-DRC-Ebola-North-Kivu-Treatment

May 2, 2019

South Africa
Despite Progress in South Africa After Apartheid, Problems Persist

In the run-up to the elections, the BBC has done a service by presenting statistical data on how South Africa has changed since 1994. The data is drawn from Stats SA, the official statistics office, and think tanks. South African statistics, official and non-official, are credible. The BBC’s selection of statistics shows greater social progress since the end of apartheid than the current political debate would indicate, but that poverty remains mostly black and coloured. (Coloureds often regard themselves as a separate race, not of mixed race.)

South-Africa-Social-Statistics-Townships

April 30, 2019

Nigeria
Dangote’s Oil Refinery Central to Nigeria Meeting Its Production Goals

On April 25, the managing director of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC), Maikanti Baru, said that Aliko Dangote's new Lagos oil refinery is central to the government meeting its ambi…

Nigeria-Dangote-Oil-Refinery-Construction

April 29, 2019

Nigeria
Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: April 20–26

This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger from April 20 to 26, 2019.

Nigeria-Boko-Haram-Terrorism-Security-Tracker

April 26, 2019

South Africa
The EFF’s Election Outlook in South Africa

South Africa’s national elections on May 8 are likely to be dominated by the governing African National Congress (ANC) and the official opposition, the Democratic Alliance (DA). However, the third largest party, the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF), is likely to continue to benefit from outsized media attention because of its economic radicalism and its anti-white stance. In the national elections in 2014, its first election after being founded in 2013, it won 6 percent of the vote, and in local government elections of 2016, it won 8 percent. 

South-Africa-EFF-Election-2019