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January 4, 2024

Conflict Prevention
Conflicts to Watch in 2024

For CFR’s annual Preventive Priorities Survey, U.S. foreign policy experts assessed the likelihood and impact of thirty potential conflicts that could emerge or escalate in 2024.

Masked members of the far-right group Patriot Front march through Washington, DC, holding American flags and riot shields.

July 11, 2017

Fossil Fuels
Using External Breakeven Prices to Track Vulnerabilities in Oil-Exporting Countries

The best single measure of the resilience of an oil- or gas-exporting economy in the face of swings in the global oil price is its external breakeven price: the oil price that covers its import bill…

External breakevens petroleum oil

September 21, 2012

South Korea
Where the Center Holds: The 2012 Election in Korea and U.S.-ROK Relations

Because the Republic of Korea (ROK) has a single-term, five-year presidency, presidential election cycles in South Korea rarely coincide with those of the United States. But nearly simultaneous elect…

Where the Center Holds header

February 27, 2023

Conflict Prevention
Averting Major Power War

Although no two major powers have openly fought in over three-quarters of a century, growing tensions between the United States, China, India, and Russia threaten renewed conflict. CFR’s Paul B. Star…

June 13, 2016

Fossil Fuels
Oil Price Volatility: Causes, Effects, and Policy Implications

CFR convened a workshop to explore what drives oil price volatility, what effects it has on the economy and geopolitics, and what policy options to reduce price volatility.

Oil Price Volatility: Causes, Effects, and Policy Implications cover