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March 20, 2019

Indonesia
Indonesia’s Election: Southeast Asia’s Drifting Heavyweight

Indonesia’s high-stakes vote for president is likely to result in more political stagnation for the world’s third-largest democracy.

A man stands in front of an Indonesian election campaign mural

April 3, 2019

Southeast Asia
The State of Global Democracy Today is Even Worse Than It Looks: V-Dem’s New Democracy Research

It has become accepted, among most experts on democracy, and among policymakers, that democracy worldwide is in increasing peril. This year’s Freedom in the World annual report on the state of democr…

parthenon_3.30.2019

December 14, 2016

Sub-Saharan Africa
The Prophecy of Nigeria’s TB Joshua

Nigerians like to say that they are the happiest people in the world and the most religious. Public events commonly open and close with prayer. Causation of events, big or small is routinely ascribed…

megachurch-nigeria

April 1, 2019

Southeast Asia
Thailand’s Elections Foreshadow a New Divide, But Don’t Heal Old Ones Either

In Thailand’s elections on March 24, the military’s proxy party, Palang Pracharat, did better than pre-election surveys had indicated. Palang Pracharat appears to have enough seats combined in the el…

Thailand elections_3.24.2019

March 20, 2019

Southeast Asia
Indonesia’s Election: Drift in the Most Important State in Southeast Asia

Indonesia, the biggest economy in Southeast Asia and long the dominant strategic actor, is a country whose bilateral relationship with the United States has historically underperformed its potential…

Prabowo_2.17.2019

March 15, 2019

Southeast Asia
Potential Scenarios in Thailand’s Election

With a week left before Thailand’s first national elections in eight years, the kingdom looks unlikely to resolve its political tensions, no matter the result of the vote. Instead, Thailand seems des…

Prayuth_3.13.2019

January 31, 2019

Southeast Asia
What a Labor Victory Might Mean for Australian Foreign Policy

By Elena Collinson A federal election is due this year in Australia. While the Liberal-National Coalition government has yet to formally announce a polling day, the stage has effectively been set …

Pence-Shorten_4.22.2017

March 6, 2019

Southeast Asia
Thailand’s Election Dirty Tricks

In the run-up to Thailand’s elections, to be held on March 24, there was an initial burst of media attention around the possibility that Princess Ubolratana, the older sister of Thailand’s King Rama …

Thaksin_2.23.2016

February 13, 2019

Southeast Asia
What the Turmoil in Thailand Reveals About the Thai Monarchy

By Pavin Chachavalpongpun Thai politics continues to be drawn along the monarchy’s fault lines, following the recent dramatic events, which exposed deep conflicts between opposing monarchical fact…

Thailand_10.27.2017

February 25, 2019

Southeast Asia
Populism Might Not Be Ebbing

In early 2018, I wrote a short article for the Washington Post, arguing that the global populism wave would likely continue sweeping through countries that year—despite the fact that, at least in par…

Duterte_12.15.2018