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April 18, 2005

Financial Markets
Tactical Issue Linkages

Dan Drezner has an interesting post up, laying out the components of a "serious" approach to encouraging (or pressuring) China to change its exchange rate peg. He nicely lays out the options, thoug…

January 10, 2006

United States
Directing the perennial dollar horror story

(Dollar) gloom and doom sells.  Even if it isn't true.So says Bloggin' Wall Street Folks who worry about the trade deficit are in denial. They cannot accept that in the new (financial globali…

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February 15, 2006

Economics
Mandel v. Setser. Round two. More on intangible exports and dark matter

I was rather busy last week, so I was not able to respond immediately to Michael Mandel's response to my response to his Business Week cover story - and now Micheal Mandel is shooting for slightl…

October 30, 2006

Financial Markets
Can David Rosenberg out-Roubini Roubini?

Nouriel “If you are going to be a bear, might as well be a grizzy” Roubini has a bit of competition.  Merrill’s David Rosenberg now puts the odds of a recession at up to 80% “HSBC, US Bank ... now pe…

October 11, 2006

United States
The use and misuse of (certain) statistics

It seems, as Shuda Senoy notes, that consumer goods are falling as a share of US imports:   "the proportion of consumption in imports has been falling, i.e., the proportion of industrial inputs has b…

November 25, 2007

Financial Markets
Danish honesty (on the no-longer-strong dollar)

Teis Knuthsen of Danske Bank: “Secretary Paulson claims the strong dollar policy remains in place but also that FX rates should be set in the markets, a combination that is currency inconsistent.”…

July 24, 2008

Financial Markets
Too big to fail? Or too large to save? Thinking about the US one year into the subprime crisis

Emerging market financial crises in the 1990s followed a fairly consistent pattern. The country lost access to external financing. The sector of the economy that had a large need for financing – fi…

March 22, 2010

China
Where’s the Tipping Point in U.S.-China Relations?

Photo Courtesy of REUTERS/Jason Lee Some of my old State Department colleagues tell me that the current downturn in U.S.-China relations is nothing new.  It’s just countercyclical, they say.  “Remem…

Where’s the Tipping Point in U.S.-China Relations?

May 14, 2010

Trade
America, Trade, and Asia

Photo courtesy of the MIT Visualizing Cultures project. Here’s the thing about trade policy:  the United States can’t be a leader in Asia without one. That was true in the 19th century, as fast-sai…

America, Trade, and Asia

July 10, 2010

Trade
Korea Inter Pares? -- South Korea on the Global Stage

Photo courtesy of REUTERS/Jo Yong-Hak It’s been a long and frustrating (and bloody exhausting … ) seventeen months for American trade policy. But on the margins of last month’s G20 summit, Presiden…

Korea Inter Pares? -- South Korea on the Global Stage