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June 28, 2021

Afghanistan
What’s Next for Afghan Women: An Interview with Judge Najla Ayoubi

This post is part of the Council on Foreign Relations' blog series on women's leadership in peacebuilding and non-violent movements, in which CFR fellows, scholars, and practitioners highlight new se…

A young shoe polisher waits for customers beneath a mural in Kabul, Afghanistan.

July 13, 2016

Defense and Security
Rogue Justice: A Conversation with Karen Greenberg

Today I spoke with Karen Greenberg, director of the Center on National Security at Fordham Law School. We spoke about her comprehensive account of the national security legal debates since 9/11 in he…

Rogue Justice

October 7, 2015

Technology and Innovation
Karen Kornbluh Joins Net Politics

I am pleased to announce that Karen Kornbluh, senior fellow for digital policy at the Council on Foreign Relations, is contributing to Net Politics. Karen served as U.S. ambassador in Paris to the…

February 15, 2006

Economics
Mandel v. Setser. Round two. More on intangible exports and dark matter

I was rather busy last week, so I was not able to respond immediately to Michael Mandel's response to my response to his Business Week cover story - and now Micheal Mandel is shooting for slightl…

June 23, 2021

Global
The President's Inbox Episodes by Topic

A comprehensive list of each episode of The President's Inbox organized by topic. 

Resolute desk

March 27, 2006

United States
Good thing Michael Mandel read my 2004 paper, not my 2005 paper -

With the 2004 paper on US external sustainability, there is at least some possibility that Nouriel's and my dire forecasts will prove to be right.   The core argument of that paper is that the co…

April 12, 2021

Southeast Asia
Myanmar Moves Toward Civil War, Failed State

In the initial days after the Myanmar armed forces launched a coup on February 1, deposing an elected government, the military may have hoped it would be able to pull off the putsch with minimal bloo…

A fire burns on the street during a protest against the military coup, in Mandalay, Myanmar on April 1, 2021.

August 1, 2006

Economics
Memo to Mike Mandel: Wal-Mart doesn’t look like it is creating all that much dark matter …

Wal-Mart recently sold itsmoney-losing  German operations: Industry observers said Wal-Mart lost about €100m ($127.5m) on German sales of €2bn last year. Results failed to pick up in spite of the clo…

March 9, 2006

United States
Mike Mandel, Ricardo Hausmann and Federico Sturzenegger better be right (January trade data)

I sure hope that the US is exporting a lot of "intangibles" that don't show up in the trade data, and generating lots more intangible dark matter to offset all the external debt that the US is ta…

chart

June 21, 2006

United States
So, is Michael Mandel right? Did intangible income (dark matter) ride to the rescue in the first quarter, offsetting rising US debt?

As Michael Mandel has noted, the US income balance improved in the first quarter – contrary to the expectations of “pessimists” like me.  I would say “realists” – rising debt usually implies rising i…

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