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September 27, 2018

Puerto Rico
Will the Proposed Restructuring of COFINA Bonds Assure Puerto Rico’s Return to Debt Sustainability?

Puerto Rico’s government and the bulk of the holders of Puerto Rico’s Sales tax backed bonds (COFINA) appear to have reached agreement on restructuring terms (details here). The deal will reduce Puer…

Will the Proposed Restructuring of COFINA Bonds Assure Puerto Rico’s Return to Debt Sustainability?

January 17, 2019

China
Will China’s Currency Hit a Wall?

Worry about China’s slowing economy in 2019, not its balance of payments…

Will China’s Currency Hit a Wall?

December 20, 2018

United States
The National Debt Dilemma

With the U.S. national debt already exceeding $15 trillion, President Trump’s tax reform and budget deals with Congress have added to the country’s deficits. CFR explores the origins of the national debt, the risks it presents, and the outlook for change.

US-Debt-BGR-Header-2-1160x630.jpg

December 13, 2018

India
India and the World: Fueling a New Low-Carbon Growth Model

Samir Saran is the President of the Observer Research Foundation. Aparajit Pandey is the Program Director for Climate, Energy, and Resources Program at the Oberver Research Foundation. As leaders …

Workers clean photovoltaic panels inside a solar power plant in Gujarat, India.

December 12, 2018

Elections and Voting
Ten Elections to Watch in 2019

Millions of people around the world voted in 2018. Russian President Vladimir Putin earned his fourth term in office, though the contest was far from free and fair. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Or…

elections 2019

December 13, 2018

China
Why Hasn't China Needed to Intervene More This Year?

The prospects for moving from a three month truce to a more durable ceasefire and eventual resolution of the current trade conflict with China have become a central focus of global markets. The is…

Why Hasn't China Needed to Intervene More This Year?

January 17, 2018

China
A Few Words on China’s Holdings of U.S. Bonds

A primer on China reserve watching.

A Few Words on China’s Holdings of U.S. Bonds

November 30, 2018

Mexico
Lopez Obrador Spells Trouble for Mexico

His personalistic presidency threatens years of hard-won institutional gains.

Mexico's President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador takes part in an indigenous ceremony during the AMLO Fest at Zocalo square in Mexico City, Mexico.

November 20, 2018

United States
The Fed Is Tightening More Than It Realizes

Before the 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers, the Fed’s balance sheet stood at $925 billion—mostly U.S. Treasury securities. After 59 months of asset purchases to push down longer-term interest ra…

The Fed Is Tightening More Than It Realizes

November 13, 2018

Puerto Rico
Could Maria’s Legacy Be a New Debt Trap for Puerto Rico?

President Trump is right to worry that disaster aid will end up bailing out the holders of Puerto Rico's bonds, but there are better solutions to that particular problem than cutting off disaster aid…

Could Maria’s Legacy Be a New Debt Trap for Puerto Rico?