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April 24, 2019

Nonproliferation, Arms Control, and Disarmament
Laying Down the LAWS: Strategizing Autonomous Weapons Governance

Working toward a definition of lethal autonomous weapons systems contributes to the creation of norms, even in the absence of binding legal instruments. 

Activists from the Campaign to Stop Killer Robots stage a protest at Brandenburg Gate in Berlin, Germany, on March, 21, 2019.

October 29, 2019

Taiwan
Looking for the Mysterious Hedging Counterparty of Taiwan's Lifers

This gathers the six post series I did with Concentrated Ambiguity into a single easy accessible post.

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October 18, 2019

China
China’s EIA Rollback

A decision to remove environmental impact assessment requirements for some Shanghai construction projects embodies a trend of sliding environmental standards as China's economy slows. It also draws q…

Men walk by a construction site, separated by a wall installed with water misting system for dust control, in Shanghai, China April 8, 2019.

October 11, 2019

Cybersecurity
Cyber Week in Review: October 11, 2019

Top Chinese AI firms added to export blacklist; Iranian hackers target 2020 campaigns; uncertain future for Libra cryptocurrency; U.S. companies confronted by Beijing’s censors on Hong Kong; and Twit…

 A fan is seen wearing a LeBron James jersey with an NBA logo covered by a Chinese national flag sticker during the game.

October 11, 2019

Election 2020
Foreign Policy Roundup: Syrian Kurds, the NBA, and LGBTQ Rights

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential challengers are saying about foreign policy on the campaign trail.

People flee Turkish air strikes in Ras al Ain along the northern Syrian border.

October 10, 2019

Southeast Asia
A Review of “The Hidden History of Burma: Race, Capitalism, and the Crisis of Democracy in the 21st Century”

By Hunter Marston and Joshua Kurlantzick Hunter Marston is a doctoral candidate at Australian National University. In the run-up to Myanmar’s elections next year, there is little positive news …

Myanmar Author Thant Myint-U speaks during the DSC Jaipur Literature Festival (JLF) in Jaipur on January 23, 2012.

October 8, 2019

Americas
Free Trade Is Expanding, Just Not With the U.S.

Deals forged by countries accounting for more than one-third of global output leave America on the outside.

Representatives of members of Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade deal wave as they pose for an official picture after the signing agreement ceremony in Santiago, Chile March 8, 2018.

October 8, 2019

Taiwan
Could Taiwan’s Commercial Banks Cover the Lifers' Hedging Need? (Part 4)

Who is on the other side of the massive ($250 billion) hedging need of Taiwan's life insurance industry? The local banking system covers at most a quarter of the life insurers hedging need, and forei…

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October 3, 2019

Taiwan
Shadow FX Intervention in Taiwan: Solving a 100+ Billion Dollar Enigma (Part 1)

Taiwan’s central bank, unlike most central banks, doesn’t disclose its position in FX derivatives. It really should. There is good reason to think its undisclosed exposure is quite substantial.   …

A Taiwan dollar note is seen in this illustration photo May 31, 2017.

September 30, 2019

China
Democracy in Hong Kong

As China’s power continues to grow, some fear that the considerable autonomy Hong Kong has enjoyed over the last three decades could slip away.

Protesters wearing black carry black umbrellas and stand next to a white figure that looks like the Goddess of Democracy statue in Hong Kong.