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February 26, 2020

Trade
The U.S. Shock to Global Demand in Q4 (Before the Coronavirus)

The large fall in U.S. imports in Q4 slowed global growth, as weak U.S. demand hurt the rest of the world more than it hurt the United States.

The U.S. Shock to Global Demand in Q4 (Before the Coronavirus)

July 30, 2019

Economics
Summer Holiday

I am taking a few days off— If you are desperate for analysis of China’s balance of payments, I would recommend my disaggregation of China’s current account adjustment last year—and my analysis of…

February 12, 2020

Trade
Tax Games: Big Pharma Versus Big Tech

American pharmaceutical companies are skilled at using transfer pricing to shift the profit on their U.S. sales out of the United States. That is why the United States' trade deficit in pharmaceutica…

Tax Games: Big Pharma Versus Big Tech

February 5, 2020

Election 2020
2020 Presidential Candidates Race to Renewable Energy, But How Will They Get There?

This is a guest post by Zoe Dawson, a recent graduate of The Center for Global Affairs at New York University. She was previously an intern for Energy and Climate Policy at the Council on Foreign Rel…

The Niagara River Gorge cuts through Ontario Hydro (L) and the Robert Moses Power Plant (R) at the United States-Canadian Border on August 15, 2003.

February 4, 2020

Nigeria
Trump Administration Bans Immigrants From Nigeria

Nigeria has been added to a list of countries whose citizens will in some way be restricted from entering the United States. According to a White House statement, Nigeria is not complying with “the established identity-management and information sharing criteria assessed by performance metrics. Nigeria does not adequately share public-safety and terrorism-related information, which is necessary for the protection of the national security and public safety of the United States.”

A family exits after clearing immigration and customs at Dulles International Airport in Dulles, Virginia, United States, on September 24, 2017.

January 31, 2020

Election 2020
Campaign Foreign Policy Roundup: President Trump’s Middle East Peace Plan

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential challengers are saying about foreign policy. This week: Democrats pan the Trump peace plan, Warren unveils her global health plan, and John Delaney depart…

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu walks to a meeting with the Trump administration in Jerusalem in October 2019. Ronen Zvulun/Reuters

January 27, 2020

United Nations
From Multilateral to Multistakeholder? New Developments in UN Processes on Cybersecurity

The United Nations hosted the first intersessional consultation session between UN member states and non-governmental actors interested in peace and security in cyberspace. International law, norms, …

United Nations General Assembly at the U.N. headquarters in New York

January 14, 2020

Taiwan
All Sound and No Fury? Will The Trump Administration Get Tough on Currency in April?

A number of Asian countries could be designated as manipulators in the U.S. Treasury's April foreign exchange report. And unlike the politically motivated designation of China last summer, there woul…

All Sound and No Fury? Will The Trump Administration Get Tough on Currency in April?

January 6, 2020

China
More Trade Destruction than Trade Diversion Right Now

Earlier in the year, there was a plausible argument that Trump's tariffs were mostly just diverting U.S. demand to other markets. But in recent months imports from China and imports from the United S…

More Trade Destruction than Trade  Diversion Right Now

January 7, 2020

Central America
Top Conflicts to Watch in 2020: Worsening Conditions in the Northern Triangle

This year, deteriorating economic and security conditions in the Northern Triangle, resulting in increased migration outflows from the region, was included as a top tier priority in the Center for Pr…

Thousands of migrants from Central America travel through Mexico on their way to the United States, on October 27, 2018.