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February 15, 2006

Economics
Mandel v. Setser. Round two. More on intangible exports and dark matter

I was rather busy last week, so I was not able to respond immediately to Michael Mandel's response to my response to his Business Week cover story - and now Micheal Mandel is shooting for slightly bi…

June 6, 2006

China
Yet more evidence China is an outlier

Poor countries tend to have relatively weak currencies – that is, there is a big gap between their currencies' nominal exchange rate and the exchange rate implied by “purchasing power parity.”   Or,…

June 19, 2006

China
Paging Edward Hugh: Demographics do not explain the recent rise in Chinese savings

Louis Kuijs’ latest analysis seems to suggest – based on my reading -- that three common perceptions of China are more myth than reality.     Myth one: foreign direct investment has been a big …

June 25, 2006

Financial Markets
Only some emerging market currencies have corrected this year.

Emerging market economies with overvalued currencies now – generally speaking –have less overvalued currencies.   The Turkish lira was too strong at the beginning of the year.  Turkey’s current accou…

August 8, 2006

Monetary Policy
A couple of (mental) light bulbs …

I spend a lot of time thinking about reserves.  And I have long been puzzled by the modest April increase in China's reserves.   China’s trade surplus was solid.  There is no particular reason to thi…