25 Results for:

October 16, 2018

Cybersecurity
Disinformation on Steroids

Deep fakes—highly realistic and difficult-to-detect depictions of real people doing or saying things they never said or did—are a profoundly serious problem for democratic governments and the world order. A combination of technology, education, and public policy can reduce their effectiveness.

An image from a fake video of former President Barack Obama, demonstrating facial-mapping technology.

October 11, 2018

Global Governance
Global Governance to Combat Illicit Financial Flows

Illicit financial flows are one of the most important features of globalization’s dark side. However, unlike other illicit or dangerous cross-border flows, these flows bear almost no markers in and of themselves.

Replicas of Brazilian banknotes are hung on a clothesline during a protest of the national union of prosecutors against money laundering in Brazil, at the Esplanade of Ministries in Brasilia, on March 18, 2015. (Ueslei Marcelino/Reuters)

November 21, 2017

Russia
Countering Russian Information Operations in the Age of Social Media

Russia's information warfare operations, aimed to weaken adversaries' social cohesion and political systems, are complex and adaptive, but Western governments can take steps to guard against them.

A Russian flag and a 3-D model of the Facebook logo is seen through a cutout of the Twitter logo in this photo illustration taken in Zenica, Bosnia and Herzegovina, on May 22, 2015.

March 15, 2017

Greece
Global Economics Monthly: March 2017

Steven A. Tananbaum Senior Fellow for International Economics Robert Kahn writes that Greece and its creditors are again locked in a showdown over reforms, cash, and debt relief. Another cliff-hanger ahead of heavy July debt payments looks likely. Extend-and-pretend is a dead end for Greece and an increasingly populist Europe, and a more ambitious agreement seems ruled out by bailout fatigue in creditor countries. Markets are once again underestimating the risks of “Grexit.”

May 4, 2016

Venezuela
Global Economics Monthly: May 2016

Bottom Line: The crisis in Venezuela continues to escalate, with no recovery or relief in sight. A messy and chaotic default looms, and the rescue will likely involve a tough adjustment program, larg…

February 3, 2016

Asia
Global Economics Monthly: February 2016

Steven A. Tananbaum Senior Fellow for International Economics Robert Kahn argues that the idea of capital control is less radical than it seems; although comprehensive liberalization is theoretically the ideal option, capital controls may be China’s best chance to end the panic roiling global markets.

November 3, 2015

China
Global Economics Monthly: November 2015

Steven A. Tananbaum Senior Fellow for International Economics Robert Kahn argues that the concerns driven by China's economic problems are modest compared to the 1997 Asian financial crisis or the Great Recession. However, there are reasons for concern: large financial imbalances, weak global growth, inadequate official resources, and political pressures. While a severe global financial crisis remains a tail risk, policymakers need to be prepared to respond.

October 9, 2015

China
Global Economics Monthly: October 2015

Steven A. Tananbaum Senior Fellow for International Economics Robert Kahn argues that China's growth prospect lies somewhere between hard-landing and muddle-through scenarios. However, uncertainty remains and is already being felt strongly and likely to put increasing pressure on emerging markets through trade contraction and financial contagion. For the United States, fragility in emerging markets is the critical risk and will dominate economic decision-making for months if not years to come.

February 6, 2015

Budget, Debt, and Deficits
Global Economics Monthly: February 2015

Steven A. Tananbaum Senior Fellow for International Economics Robert Kahn argues that with sovereign debt woes in Greece and Ukraine testing markets and governments, now might be the time for policymakers to rethink the architecture for resolving debt crises.

September 9, 2014

Europe and Eurasia
Global Economics Monthly: September 2014

Steven A. Tananbaum Senior Fellow for International Economics Robert Kahn argues that while markets have been relatively sanguine in their outlook, weakness in Europe may force them to reevaluate.