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October 16, 2005

China
Is Tim Adams a closet Democrat? And some other musings on Snow’s trip to China

Clearly not, given his role in the Bush/ Cheney 2004 campaign. But he also seems to think China should develop a social insurance system to help spur domestic consumption.   Read Friday's Wall St…

September 4, 2005

Economics
Financial storm gathering?

Andrew Lo of MIT apparently thinks so.  His work provided the basis for this New York Times article by Mark Giben, an article that probably will attract less attention today than it would in more tra…

September 18, 2005

United States
Synthetic CDOs, China and Systemic Risk

I suspect the stock of outstanding synthetic credit derivatives -- $ 1500 b in synthetic CDOs in 2004 v. $300 b or so in 2001, according to Mark Whitehouse of the Wall Street Journal -- is the only t…

August 19, 2005

Capital Flows
Iraq: What happened to US plans for an extreme makeover of the economy?

I agree with Mark Thoma more often than naught.   I certainly share his concern about the shifting sectoral composition of output (translated from economese to English, more jobs in housing), and, li…

December 6, 2005

United States
Alan Greenspan, financial globalization, home bias and central bank reserves

The very last paragraph of Alan Greenspan's last speech on global imbalances seems to have generated the majority of the press that came out of his London speech on global imbalances.   I kind of…

home bias and central banks

November 26, 2005

Economics
Kansas is flat, the world is not …

To paraphrase the New Economist, the Financial Times must think the world is flat.  They just gave Tom Friedman the inaugural Financial Times/ Goldman Sachs book prize last week - for a book based on…

chart 1

October 6, 2005

China
How many divisions does the IMF have?

So asks Andy Mukherjee of Bloomberg.  He wonders if IMF efforts to get China to allow its exchange rate to appreciate significantly would have exactly as much impact over Chinese policy as IMF effo…

October 24, 2005

China
No one forced China to import US monetary policy: Commentary on yesterday’s China commentary

Andrew Browne did something somewhat unusual in Monday's Wall Street Journal (see p. A2 of the print edition, unfortunately, I have not been able to find the link). He wrote about China, and got …

November 3, 2005

Financial Markets
Gerd Hausler is a brave man.

Hausler heads the IMF's capital market division - so he is paid to worry.  And he is not all that worried: "I don't see a systemic crisis" That is a bold thing to say - even if he is right t…

December 4, 2005

Financial Markets
At last, some real evidence to back my argument on petrodollars

The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) has spoken; OPEC's dollar holdings are up and its euro holdings down. The prolific Steve Johnson in the Financial Times: Middle Eastern oil exporters…