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March 14, 2023

Democratic Republic of Congo
An Ever More Precarious Situation in DRC

As the Democratic Republic of Congo’s decades-long struggle with insecurity heats up, increased regional military engagement heightens risks.

Standing in formation, Burundian soldiers in green camo fatigues with red berets arrive to their deployment at an airport in Goma, North Kivu, Democratic Republic of Congo.

March 13, 2023

Cybersecurity
Russia’s War Against Ukraine is Catalyzing Internet Fragmentation

After its invasion of Ukraine, concerns flared over a decoupling of Russia from the global internet. This has not materialized, but we may be witnessing the start of a more fundamental fragmentation …

The logo of Russia's state communications regulator, Roskomnadzor, is reflected in a laptop screen.

February 26, 2023

Russia
Implications of the Russia-Ukraine War

The Russia-Ukraine war has implications for the Middle East, Europe, and Asia and of course for U.S. foreign policy. In this speech I addressed them briefly.

February 27, 2023

Nigeria
Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: February 11-17

[This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger from February 11 to February 17, 2023]

Map of Nigeria shaded in red to reflect Nigeria Security Tracker-documented deaths per state. Borno state, the northeastern-most state, is dark red, while the rest of the country are shades of pink. Regions of Cameroon, Chad, and Niger that have experienced Boko Haram-related violence are also shaded.

February 15, 2023

Nigeria
Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: February 4-10

[This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger from February 4 to February 10, 2023.]

Map of Nigeria shaded in red to reflect Nigeria Security Tracker-documented deaths per state. Borno state, the northeastern-most state, is dark red, while the rest of the country are shades of pink. Regions of Cameroon, Chad, and Niger that have experienced Boko Haram-related violence are also shaded.

February 7, 2023

Nigeria
Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: January 28-February 3

This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger from January 28 to February 3, 2023. 

Map of Nigeria shaded in red to reflect Nigeria Security Tracker-documented deaths per state. Borno state, the northeastern-most state, is dark red, while the rest of the country are shades of pink. Regions of Cameroon, Chad, and Niger that have experienced Boko Haram-related violence are also shaded.

February 6, 2023

China
What China’s Surveillance Balloon Says About U.S.-China Relations

Neither the United States nor China is prepared for a serious crisis.

A cloud of white smoke around a while balloon drifting in the sky.

January 31, 2023

Technology and Innovation
Why Military Leaders Need to Rethink Battlefield Intelligence in a Smartphone Era

Ukraine is using data derived from Russian smartphones to target missile strikes. Smartphones, as well as social media, are transforming battlefield intelligence. 

A crane lifts debris from a destroyed building as workers stand by.

January 26, 2023

China
China’s Population Decline Is Not Yet A Crisis. Beijing’s Response Could Make It One

China has now officially experienced its first total population decline in six decades, bringing attention to Beijing's ability to address the challenges posed by demographic trends.

A man looks over a crowd in Shijiazhuang, Hebei province, China.

January 26, 2023

North Korea
Missiles and Macroeconomy Mark North Korea’s 2022 Troubles

For North Korea, 2022 was marked by a record number of missile tests, the implementation of a national quarantine against COVID-19 cases, and recentralized government control over economic activities…

North Korean leader Kim Jong-un attends an event during the New Year celebrations at People's Palace of Culture in Pyongyang, North Korea.