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March 28, 2024

United States
Summer Migration Uptick Likely to Inflame U.S. Politics, Plus Brazil’s Risky Bet on Soy

Migration will rise this summer, inflaming U.S. politics; Brazil’s risky bet on soy.

Migrants line up against the border wall in El Paso to surrender to immigration officials on March 25, 2024.

March 12, 2024

Haiti
Haiti Mission Lacks Interlocutor Plus Peruvian Congress Purges Top Judges

No interlocutor for Haiti mission’s international troops and Peru’s “pact of the corrupt” is succeeding where Guatemala’s failed without international pressure.

A protestor holds up a Haitian flag during a demonstration against Prime Minister Ariel Henry's government and insecurity in Port-au-Prince on March 1, 2024.

February 27, 2024

Mexico
Mexico’s Electoral Campaigns Kick Off Plus Latin America’s Resilient Democracies

Mexico’s electoral campaigns officially begin with AMLO’s legacy at play plus Latin America’s democracies are challenged but resilient.

Photo of Presidential Candidate Claudia Sheinbaum

February 9, 2024

Colombia
Complications in Colombia’s AG Selection, Plus Milei’s Electoral Reform Failure and El Salvador’s Opposition Collapses

Colombia’s process to select a new attorney general is not going smoothly; electoral reform an early failure in omnibus fiasco; and the collapse of El Salvador’s opposition is bad news for Bukele

Photo of Petro supporters protesting outside of Colombia's supreme court

January 26, 2024

Mexico
Proposed Judicial Reforms Hasten Democratic Erosion, Peruvian Guns Fuel Ecuador's Violence, and Arévalo's New Cabinet

Judicial reforms look to erode—not consolidate—democracy; Peruvian guns fuel Ecuador’s violence; and Arévalo delivers a technocratic, centrist cabinet

Mexico's President Andrés Manuel López Obrador speaks during his daily news conference on December 20, 2023.

March 10, 2024

China
China’s Record Manufacturing Surplus

The U.S. likes talking about the dominance of the dollar. But don’t short-change China’s current dominance of manufacturing trade. Trade imbalances need to be taken seriously again.

Manufactured Goods Surpluses

December 9, 2016

China
Shannon O’Neil On Bloomberg Surveillance

This morning, I had the pleasure of joining Tom Keene on Bloomberg Surveillance to discuss Venezuela, Brazil, Cuba, and China’s increasing opportunities in Latin America. You can watch the two clips …

interview-with-bloomberg-surveillance-lam

March 22, 2024

United States
Election 2024 Roundup: Are Americans Turning Isolationist?

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential contenders are saying about foreign policy. This Week: Much like talk of Mark Twain’s death, claims that Americans are turning their back on the world are…

The sun as viewed disappearing beneath the horizon.