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September 17, 2007

Financial Markets
The first true twenty-first century financial crisis?

Larry Summers – picking up on a phrase perhaps first used by Michel Camdessus -- liked to call the Mexican crisis the first financial crisis of the 21st century.   Mexico’s decision to exhaust its re…

January 6, 2008

Economics
Looking back at the top macroeconomic and financial stories of 2007, and looking forward to 2008

Here is my list of the top five stories of 2007 - and some things that I’ll be watching in 2008. What did I miss?1. The "subprime" crisis. The credibility of Wall Street’s financial engineering …

January 18, 2008

Monetary Policy
The new (financial) world order

In 2007: China’s government added $430b to its foreign exchange reserves. Russia’s government added $150b to its foreign exchange reserves. China’s state banks likely - this is the only…

December 30, 2007

China
Does the China investment corporation (CIC) have a coherent investment strategy?

I personally would say no.  And I am not alone.  Tan Wei of mergermarket.com reports (in the FT) “a source familiar with the Chinese government’s thinking … who has direct access to the Chinese g…

April 30, 2006

Can the dollar block survive another bout of dollar weakness?

In case you haven't noticed, the dollar is now closer to 1.30 (v. the euro) than 1.20 - or even 1.15.  Carry is no longer king.   There is talk of a "regime change" in the fx market.  Or at least an …