192 Results for:

May 23, 2005

China
Five myths (or half truths) about China and the renminbi

China’s exchange rate peg has attracted a lot of attention recently, in the market, among the public and in the press. (also here, here and many other places)Alas, too much of the commentary seems t…

August 16, 2005

Budget, Debt, and Deficits
Well, the 2005 fiscal deficit looks good …

I'll leave it to others (Brookings, Goldman, CBPP, DeLong with some help from Concord Coalition) to transform the CBO forecast into realistic projections.  Manipulating the CBO long-term budget f…

October 16, 2005

China
Is Tim Adams a closet Democrat? And some other musings on Snow’s trip to China

Clearly not, given his role in the Bush/ Cheney 2004 campaign. But he also seems to think China should develop a social insurance system to help spur domestic consumption.   Read Friday's Wall St…

June 19, 2005

China
Two articles on China. One good. One not so good.

Reuters has done a nice wrap up of what we know -- and more importantly what we don’t know -- about how China manages its reserves. They correctly note that the TIC data misses so much that it, alon…

June 23, 2005

United States
How does the Fed imagine the US current account deficit will adjust?

Greenspan does not think a revaluation of the RMB would have a major impact on the US trade balance.The Fed does not think that reducing the fiscal deficit would generate a major reduction in the cur…

September 15, 2005

Monetary Policy
Is Asia still accumulating reserves in financial self defense?

I think it is fair to say that I profoundly disagree with this week's Economics Focus column in the Economist, and therefore, I suspect, with the underlying Genbert, McCauley, Park and Persaud pa…

November 26, 2005

Economics
Kansas is flat, the world is not …

To paraphrase the New Economist, the Financial Times must think the world is flat.  They just gave Tom Friedman the inaugural Financial Times/ Goldman Sachs book prize last week - for a book based on…

chart 1

September 7, 2005

Monetary Policy
Central banks did not diversify their reserves in 2004

That is the inescapable conclusion of the special section on offshore dollar reserves in the most recent BIS quarterly report - a report that Cynic's Delight has summarized well. The BIS estima…

January 26, 2006

China
The intent is good …

The Governor of the China's Central Bank said pretty much all the right things at Davos - at least from my point of view.    China does need to base its growth far more on domestic consumption.  …

October 23, 2005

China
China’s crazy numbers

The Big Picture is right.  China's growth numbers are not to be trusted.   China's growth almost certainly slowed more than the government acknowledged in say 1998 and 1999, after the Asian c…