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November 28, 2005

China
China still pegs to the dollar …

And it intervenes in a big way in both the spot and the forward market.  But it doesn't manipulate its currency.  At least not technically.   The US Treasury - in a widely telegraphed move - decided …

April 12, 2006

United States
Watch for imports to surge in March

China's March trade surplus topped $11b - and its goods exports were a very impressive $78 billion.  China February surplus was about $2.5 billion, and its exports only 54.1 billion.  China had an im…

Watch for imports to surge in March

April 13, 2006

Financial Markets
Abridged Roubini on oil at $70 — and not-so-abridged Setser on Petrodollars

A condensed version of Dr. Roubini's latest post:"I was wrong about the impact of $40 oil, but I'll be right about the impact of $70 oil."I know Dr. Roubini was wrong about the impact of $40 oil beca…

Abridged Roubini on oil at $70 — and not-so-abridged Setser on Petrodollars

August 1, 2006

United States
How long can the US retain a comparative advantage as a “storehouse for wealth”

If foreigners investing in the US keep doing so badly? That would be my question for John Makin.    I don’t doubt the superior liquidity of US markets. I realize that there are only so…

October 7, 2006

Financial Markets
Italian (oil) realism

Paolo Scaroni (interviewed by Jad Mouawad in the New York Times) points out that if Americans continue to drive SUVs with oil at $60 a barrel, oil isn't all that high.  Scaroni heads an oil company (…