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October 19, 2006

China
The Economist v. Nick Lardy

China’s goods and services trade surplus is set to increase from $50b in 2004 to $185b in 2006.  China’s current account surplus is set to rise from around 3-4% of China’s 2004 GDP to around 9% of it…

November 22, 2019

Iran
Reports of Oil’s Demise May Be Premature

I have a rule of thumb on the oil price cycle: When commentators start using the word “never” we are typically at the brink of a cycle shift. For a while now, oil prices have been stuck in a range. T…

Iraqi demonstrators block the entrance of Khor al-Zubair commodities port during the ongoing anti-government protests, near Basra, Iraq November 19, 2019.

November 1, 2019

Election 2020
Foreign Policy Roundup: Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi, Israel, and Campaign Advisors

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential challengers are saying about foreign policy.

Bernie Sanders speaks at the J Street National Conference in Washington, DC, on October 28.

September 12, 2019

Election 2020
John Delaney on U.S. Foreign Policy

The ten leading Democratic presidential candidates square off at 8 p.m. (EST) tonight in Houston for a third round of debate. ABC News and Univision will be televising the exchange. We’ll see if toni…

John Delaney

June 1, 2007

China
The World Banks shows just how a large a policy shift Martin Wolf (and Nick Lardy) are proposing for China

The World Bank estimates that net exports contributed 3.3 percentage points to China’s growth in q1, “broadly the same as in the second half of 2006 and higher than expected.”  And from the accompany…

January 10, 2019

Disasters
Averting Global Catastrophe: A New IIGG Blog Series

Nature and technology pose a worrying array of threats to twenty-first century civilization. These global menaces and the catastrophic risks associated with them are the subject of a new Internationa…

A mushroom cloud expands on the horizon.

September 13, 2018

Digital Policy
The Global Trade Talks on the Digital Economy Nobody’s Talking About

More than ninety countries are discussing the future of online trade and it's getting scant attention. 

Amazon

September 5, 2017

Trade
Looking Back at the Impact of Real Exchange Rate Moves on Exports

G-3 exchange rate moves over the past four years have had expected impacts on trade flows

Looking Back at the Impact of Real Exchange Rate Moves on Exports

May 4, 2017

United States
Eleven More Classic Vietnam War Protest Songs

Two years ago, I posted my picks for "The Twenty Best Vietnam Protest Songs." I compiled the list as part of a series of posts commemorating the fiftieth anniversary of the first U.S. combat troops a…

Mick Jagger featured in the 1970 documentary, "Gimme Shelter." (Photo : Reuters)