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July 2, 2012

Politics and Government
Hola, Enrique Peña Nieto: President-Elect of Mexico

Enrique Peña Nieto had a very good weekend. While Americans were grumbling about record-breaking heat and residents of Washington, D.C., were learning to live without air conditioning because powerfu…

lindsay pena nieto 2012 07-02

March 26, 2013

Politics and Government
Hello (Welcome Back), Shinzo Abe: Prime Minister of Japan

If at first you don’t succeed, try, try again. That old saying could be the motto of Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe, who today marks the end of his third month in office. You see, he had this job…

Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe addresses cadets during a graduation ceremony at the National Defense Academy of Japan (Kiyoshi Ota/Courtesy Reuters).

October 9, 2019

Taiwan
$130+ Billion in Undisclosed Foreign Exchange Intervention by Taiwan's Central Bank

Based on the profits and losses disclosed by Taiwan’s central bank, it appears that its true FX exposures exceed its disclosed foreign exchange reserves by USD 130bn, and perhaps by as much as USD 20…

fig 19

June 14, 2011

Politics and Government
Campaign 2012: Hello Michele Bachmann, GOP Presidential Candidate

Congresswoman Michele Bachmann speaks at a rally on Capitol Hill on March 31, 2011. (Kevin Lamarque/courtesy Reuters) Michele Bachmann made some news at last night’s rather sedate GOP presidential …

Congresswoman  Michele Bachmann speaks at a rally on Capitol Hill on March 31, 2011. (Kevin Lamarque/courtesy Reuters)

January 19, 2016

You Might Have Missed: Academic Journals IV

This is the fourth blog post in this series. The previous three were published in February, July, and October 2015, and highlight earlier academic findings.  Cullen S. Hendriz, “A House Divided: Thr…

Rwanda Library

September 29, 2005

Financial Markets
Has the IMF been asleep at the wheel, and ignored surveillance of exchange rates?

Tim Adams - the new US Treasury Under Secretary - thinks so: IMF Article IV requires that the IMF exercise "firm surveillance" over the exchange rate policies of members. After the collapse of the Br…

April 11, 2011

Politics and Government
Campaign 2012: Hello Mitt Romney, GOP Presidential Candidate

Mitt Romney shakes hands after speaking to an audience at the Conservative Political Action Conference meeting in Washington on February 11, 2011. (Larry Downing/courtesy Reuters) The United States …

Campaign 2012: Hello Mitt Romney, GOP Presidential Candidate

June 18, 2006

Emerging Markets
A hard landing in 2006 - just not in the US?

Nouriel and I postulated back in early 2005 that there was a meaningful risk that the next “emerging market” crisis might come from the US – and it might come sooner than most expected.   The basic q…

March 24, 2015

Politics and Government
Campaign 2016: Senator Ted Cruz, GOP Presidential Candidate

Someone had to be first. When it comes to the 2016 presidential campaign, that person is Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX). Yesterday, he formally announced that he is running for president. Cruz’s rise to nat…

Ted-Cruz

April 13, 2006

Financial Markets
Abridged Roubini on oil at $70 — and not-so-abridged Setser on Petrodollars

A condensed version of Dr. Roubini's latest post:"I was wrong about the impact of $40 oil, but I'll be right about the impact of $70 oil."I know Dr. Roubini was wrong about the impact of $40 …

Abridged Roubini on oil at $70 — and not-so-abridged Setser on Petrodollars