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December 20, 2018

Conflict Prevention
What to Worry About in 2019

In the Preventive Priorities Survey, the Center for Preventive Action identifies the greatest risks to the United States to help mobilize attention and resources to avert potential danger. 

Ships and aircraft in the Philippine Sea

March 14, 2019

China
Why China's Incomplete Macroeconomic Adjustment Makes China 2025 a Bigger Risk

How the fragile macro-economic base of China’s external adjustment could intersect with China 2025 and generate a new "China" shock.

Why China's Incomplete Macroeconomic Adjustment Makes China 2025 a Bigger Risk

March 12, 2019

United States
Inequality and Tax Rates: A Global Comparison

With economic inequality at an all-time high, some U.S. presidential candidates are proposing dramatic shifts to the U.S. tax code. How have similar plans worked elsewhere in the world?

IRS

September 14, 2018

Conflict Prevention
Seventeen Years After 9/11 and Still Vulnerable to Strategic Surprise

The United States still does not have an effective strategic foresight system to assess and mitigate geopolitical risks. 

Tribute in Light installation in New York City

March 7, 2019

Nonproliferation, Arms Control, and Disarmament
The Lingering Specter of Nuclear War

Technological innovation and strategic competition appear to be increasing the risk of nuclear war. Mending the fraying international nuclear nonproliferation and arms control regimes should be a top…

A vehicle carrying a Russian Topol-M ICBM drives across Red Square in a Victory Day Parade in Moscow on May 9, 2008.

October 10, 2018

China
Who Controls the Tap? Addressing Water Security in Asia

The absence of a U.S. response to China’s encroachment on Asia’s rivers points to a failure to comprehend the regional implications of increased competition for water resources.

China water hydropower

March 4, 2019

Sub-Saharan Africa
Africa’s ‘Leaders for Life’

Sub-Saharan Africa is home to many of the world’s longest-ruling heads of state, but civil society and regional blocs may be slowing the trend of extending presidential terms in some areas.

A taxi passes an electoral poster for Cameroonian President Paul Biya in a market in Yaounde.

March 1, 2019

Public Health Threats and Pandemics
Plagues and the Paradox of Progress

Teaching Notes for Plagues and the Paradox of Progress, written by CFR Senior Fellow Thomas J. Bollyky, in which he traces the rise and fall of infectious disease and the challenges and opportunities that unprecedented health achievements pose for our future.

Teaching Notes for Plagues and the Paradox of Progress

July 26, 2018

Conflict Prevention
Preventive Engagement

Teaching Notes for Preventive Engagement, written by CFR Senior Fellow Paul Stares, in which he provides a comprehensive blueprint for how the United States can manage a more turbulent world.

Teaching Notes for Preventive Engagement by Paul B. Stares

February 8, 2019

Yemen
Global Conflict This Week: Negotiating a Truce in Yemen

Developments in conflicts across the world that you might have missed this week.

A man walks at the site of a Saudi-led air strike in Sana'a