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January 2, 2005

Budget, Debt, and Deficits
Social Security Crisis in 2018? Ridiculous

Take a look at this Washington Post article by Jonathan Weisman, which the big blogs have justly pounced on. The initial framing of Weisman’s article is just way, way off. Social security in no way…

March 4, 2005

Budget, Debt, and Deficits
Undisputed Unaffordability

That is a phrase from the Washington Post’s oped on Social Security.I think it goes a bit too far, so I want to dispute the "undisputed unaffordability" of Social Security.I do not dispute that there…

June 29, 2005

Capital Flows
Selling off little pieces of yourself

If the US wanted to fund its current account deficit by selling equity, it would need to sell off the equivalent of 40 Unocal’s a year -- whether Chinese state firms, European firms, Japanese insurer…

August 19, 2005

China
Comments on Dooley, Garber and Folkerts-Landau: part 1, China

As usual, Michael Dooley, Peter Garber and David Folkerts-Landau are provocative. And in a lot areas, the arguments made by those - like Dooley, Garber and Folkerts-Landau -- who argue that the Brett…

China Reserves Graph

November 16, 2005

United States
The Twin Deficits … an early look into 2006

I wanted to try to pull together some of my thoughts after various data releases of last week:The US September trade dataThe Chinese October trade dataThe October US budget dataAnd from a bit earlier…

2004 non oil trade

November 6, 2005

Economics
What risks should the American workforce assume in a more global economy?

Sebastian Mallaby had an interesting column in last Monday's Washington Post.   Mallaby highlights what he calls the biggest economic argument of the day -- namely, what role does the government …

November 15, 2005

Economics
RGE Econoblog with Sebastian Mallaby

OK, not a true Wall Street Journal style Econoblog.   But Sebastian Mallaby of the Washington Post noted my response to his October 31st column, and has agreed to allow me to publish our email exchan…

December 14, 2005

United States
Better try to find some more dark matter (October trade data)

It is pretty obvious that the US October trade deficit was quite large, even by recent American standards.   Taking into account expected valuation changes (US assets in Europe are currently on the b…

October 6, 2005

China
How many divisions does the IMF have?

So asks Andy Mukherjee of Bloomberg.  He wonders if IMF efforts to get China to allow its exchange rate to appreciate significantly would have exactly as much impact over Chinese policy as IMF effo…

October 6, 2005

Economics
The Port of New Orleans, once again

It seems that George Friedman of Stratfor is right: it is hard to operate a port without a city.  The Port of New Orleans is open, but hardly operating at full capacity.   From the New York Times: Mo…