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October 28, 2005

China
A new Chinese oil strategy? Buy into BP and other oil majors

I think this is potentially very good news.   It is not quite Tom Barnett's scenario - that would imply BP and Exxon buying up Chinese oil firms or building infrastructure to supply the Chinese marke…

January 17, 2006

United States
Where is the trade deficit heading? How I differ from Justin Lahart (and a few others)

Justin Lahart (of the Wall Street Journal's Ahead of the Tape column) correctly called the fall in the monthly trade deficit last Thursday. But he - channeling Jim Griffin of ING investment managemen…

February 21, 2006

Emerging Markets
Frederick Kempe of the Wall Street Journal gets an awful lot of things wrong

As, I suspect, does Joseph Quinlan of the Bank of America- the source of much of Kempe's analysis.   Kempe's core argument: consumers in emerging markets are driving global demand.   His eviden…

February 28, 2006

China
Read Richard McGregor’s FT article on China

I follow the data coming out of China pretty closely, at least for someone whose linguistic limitations crimp any long-term ambitions to be a professional China Watcher.     Not every article on Chin…

March 30, 2006

United States
Read Barry Eichengreen

Eichengreen provides the best summary I have seen of competing views on the sustainability of large US trade deficits, along with the impact of sustained trade deficts on US external debt and the inv…