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October 7, 2020

Emerging Economies
Reframing the Collective Action Problem in Sovereign Bond Restructuring

A recent white paper from Lazard points out that emerging market sovereign bond holdings are often fairly concentrated among a handful of big players.  The main impediment to collective action may be…

Reframing the Collective Action Problem in Sovereign Bond Restructuring

September 16, 2020

United States
Why the Fed Bond Binge Will Boost Inflation

After the 2008 financial crisis, it took five years of quantitative easing (QE) for the Fed’s balance sheet to grow $1.8 trillion. This year, once the pandemic began, it took less than five month…

Why the Fed Bond Binge Will Boost Inflation

October 23, 2020

Turkey
The Changing Nature of Turkey’s Balance Sheet Risks

Pay attention to banking system's foreign currency exposure to the government ...

The Changing Nature of Turkey’s Balance Sheet Risks

October 23, 2020

Election 2020
Campaign Foreign Policy Roundup: Biden and Trump Debate Foreign Policy, Kinda

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential contenders are saying about foreign policy. This week: foreign policy was a topic at the second and final presidential debate of the 2020 campaign. 

Joe Biden and Donald Trump gesture at each other from behind their podiums while Kristen Welker is seated between them on the debate stage.

October 16, 2020

Election 2020
Campaign Foreign Policy Roundup: What to Do About Afghanistan?

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential contenders are saying about foreign policy. This week: how Donald Trump and Joe Biden say the United States should deal with Afghanistan

Soldiers

October 7, 2020

Robots and Artificial Intelligence
With "Burn-In," Cole and Singer Show Us the Robotic Future We Need to Avoid

Burn-In: A Novel of the Real Robotic Revolution gives us the worst-case scenario of how increased automation can affect the U.S. economy and society.

French robot Pepper, detecting whether people are wearing face masks and if not, instructs them to wear them.

October 13, 2020

United States
Happy 245th Birthday to the U.S. Navy!

The U.S. Navy turns 245 years-old today. On October 13, 1775, the Continental Congress commissioned two ships, each with eighty sailors, “for intercepting such transports as may be laden with warlike…

Navy

October 9, 2020

Election 2020
Campaign Foreign Policy Roundup: VP Candidates Discuss Foreign Policy

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential contenders are saying about foreign policy. This week: Kamala Harris and Mike Pence discussed U.S. policy toward China and U.S. global leadership at Wedne…

Senator Kamala Harris and Vice President Mike Pence sit across from each other separated by plexiglass on the stage of the vice-presidential debate.

September 30, 2020

Cybersecurity
What’s Wrong With the Clean Network Initiative? China Can’t Join It

The United States and its democratic allies don't necessarily need a "clean" network but a "trusted" one where they commit to not censor traffic, agree to shared privacy protections, and strengthen m…

The logos of mobile apps, Google, Amazon, Facebook, Apple and Netflix, are displayed on a screen in this illustration picture taken December 3, 2019.

October 5, 2020

Cybersecurity
The Clean Network Program: Digital Age Echoes of the “Long Telegram”?

The U.S. State Department's Clean Network program, created in response to China's expanding capabilities in cyberspace, recalls the the warning George Kennan gave about the Soviet Union in his famous…

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo speaks during a news conference at the State Department.